TSMC Raises FY2026 Revenue-Growth Guidance to About 44% After Q3 2026 Earnings Beat
TSMC reported Q3 2026 revenue and EPS above consensus and raised its FY2026 U.S.-dollar revenue-growth outlook to about 44% from slightly above 40% previously. It guided Q4 revenue to $52.3–$54.3 billion, or 0.6% above consensus, while Q4 gross-margin and operating-margin guidance were 20 and 70 basis points below consensus, respectively. TSMC kept its 2026 capital-expenditure budget at $60–$64 billion, said 2026–2028 spending would be significantly higher than in the prior three years, and discussed additional N3 capacity and more than doubling N2-family annual capacity in 2027.
Directly supplied context identifies an October 15, 2026 TSMC Q3 release with revenue and EPS above consensus, FY2026 U.S.-dollar revenue-growth guidance raised to about 44% from slightly above 40%, Q4 revenue guidance 0.6% above consensus, Q4 gross- and operating-margin guidance below consensus, and additional N3/N2 capacity commentary. This is a forward-looking business-performance development; price performance and analyst target-price commentary are excluded. Importance is high because the guidance increase and advanced-node capacity outlook affect TSMC and semiconductor supply-chain expectations, but it is below a maximum score because it is issuer-specific and the margin outlook is mixed. Surprise is moderately high due to the guidance increase, while confidence in the core facts is high because they are explicitly supported. The calendar date is explicit, but no actual release clock time is provided; 00:00Z is used as a date-level estimate rather than treating the X-post timestamp as the event time. TSMC and the advanced-node equipment suppliers are approved because the provided context supports a clear capex and capacity-related read-through; more speculative downstream, competitor, memory, packaging, and materials effects are excluded. The prior event decision is retained as a new business-performance event because no existing event is identified and this is not a duplicate or standalone price-move item.
FY26 revenue growth guidance was raised to +44% y/y from prior "slightly above +40% y/y"
FY4Q revenue guidance was +0.6% above consensus, gross margin (20bps) below and operating margin (70bps) below.
plans for additional N3 capacity while N2 capacity should more than double in 2027.
TSMC (2330) Q3 revenue $46.7B (+16.2% QoQ), gross margin 66.4%, net profit +69% YoY to record.
HPC 68% of sales; AI demand exceeds capacity.
TSMC just had a strong third quarter, with revenue rising 41.2% from a year earlier to $46.7 billion. Net income grew even faster, jumping 68.7%.
The company expects revenue to reach $52.3 billion to $54.3 billion in the fourth quarter and is now forecasting full-year revenue growth of around 44%.