Waste Management (WM) official guidance

Waste Management (WM) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.

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WMWASTE MANAGEMENT INCQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2d
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTCsequentially higher CapEx spendingnew
As we look into the fourth quarter, I do anticipate that we'll have sequentially higher CapEx spending, which is common as we close out the year.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
WMWASTE MANAGEMENT INCFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics
earnings call · 2d
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTC5.5%
We had two year-end targets for the business as we exit 2026: core price at 5.5% and SG&A of between 15% and 16% of revenue.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTCat least 5.5%new
Momentum is building in the second half with improving revenue quality supporting top-line growth and core price expected to exit 2026 above 5.5%.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTCwithin the guidance range we established at the beginning of the year
We expect operating EBITDA to be within the guidance range we established at the beginning of the year, and we anticipate revenue and free cash flow results to be at the high end of our prior ranges.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$8.2B – $8.3Bmaintained
The Company expects to achieve its full-year financial guidance, with revenue expected to be at the high end of the guidance range of $26.275 to $26.475 billion, adjusted operating EBITDA to be within the guidance range of $8.15 to $8.25 billion, and free cash flow to be at the high end of the guidance range of $3.75 to $3.85 billion.(a)
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 20:43:31 UTC$8.2B – $8.3Bmaintained
With two quarters of the year complete, the Company remains confident in its ability to deliver its full-year outlook for adjusted operating EBITDA between $8.15 and $8.25 billion and free cash flow of between $3.75 and $3.85 billion.
WM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 20:42:59 UTCOpen source
2026-01-30 05:01:34 UTC$8.2B – $8.3Bmaintained
Moving to the outlook, we expect operating EBITDA to be between $8.15 billion and $8.25 billion in 2026.
WM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-30 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 22:10:55 UTC$8.2B – $8.3Bnew
| Adjusted operating EBITDA(a) | $8,150 - $8,250 | Growth of 6.2% on a comparable basis, reflecting a change in the classification of accretion expense beginning in 2026(i) |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 22:08:51 UTCOpen source
WMWASTE MANAGEMENT INCQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2d
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTCour best performance from a margin perspective in Q4new
Fourth quarter should be consistent with the results we have posted all year. Note that similar to last year, we did have improving margins sequentially through the year, and we expect our best performance from a margin perspective in Q4.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
WMWASTE MANAGEMENT INCFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
13 metrics1 raised4 new6 maintained
earnings call · 2d
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTCat the high end of our prior ranges
We expect operating EBITDA to be within the guidance range we established at the beginning of the year, and we anticipate revenue and free cash flow results to be at the high end of our prior ranges.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$3.8B – $3.9Bmaintained
The Company expects to achieve its full-year financial guidance, with revenue expected to be at the high end of the guidance range of $26.275 to $26.475 billion, adjusted operating EBITDA to be within the guidance range of $8.15 to $8.25 billion, and free cash flow to be at the high end of the guidance range of $3.75 to $3.85 billion.(a)
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 20:43:31 UTC$3.8B – $3.9Bmaintained
With two quarters of the year complete, the Company remains confident in its ability to deliver its full-year outlook for adjusted operating EBITDA between $8.15 and $8.25 billion and free cash flow of between $3.75 and $3.85 billion.
WM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 20:42:59 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 20:42:53 UTC$3.8B – $3.9Bmaintained
| Free cash flow | $ | 3,750 | | | 3,850 |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 20:41:53 UTCOpen source
2026-01-30 05:01:34 UTC$3.8Bmaintained
In 2026, we expect free cash flow growth of nearly 30% to $3.8 billion at the midpoint of the outlook, which drives our projected operating EBITDA to free cash flow conversion above 46%.
WM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-30 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 22:10:55 UTC$3.8B – $3.9Bmaintained
| Free cash flow(a) | $3,750 - $3,850 | Growth of 29.4% |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 22:08:51 UTCOpen source
2025-10-29 04:01:23 UTC$3.8Bmaintained
We're pleased to share that 2026 is setting up to be a year of harvesting the benefits of our investments, which will be partially evident in our free cash flow, as our early view for next year suggests free cash flow approaching $3.8 billion.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-27 20:41:10 UTC$3.8Bnew
Looking ahead, 2026 is setting up to be a year of outsized free cash flow growth, with results expected to approach $3.8 billion next year.
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-27 20:40:02 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTC15% – 16%maintained
We had two year-end targets for the business as we exit 2026: core price at 5.5% and SG&A of between 15% and 16% of revenue.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC15% – 16%new
We anticipate full year SG&A as a percent of revenue of around 10%, including SG&A in Healthcare Solutions improving to a run rate of between 15% and 16% of revenue, compared to more than 24% of revenue when we acquired the business.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTC10%maintained
Our expectations include full year SG&A of about 10% of revenue, reflecting cost discipline across the organization and the success of our integration and Healthcare Solutions.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC10%new
We anticipate full year SG&A as a percent of revenue of around 10%, including SG&A in Healthcare Solutions improving to a run rate of between 15% and 16% of revenue, compared to more than 24% of revenue when we acquired the business.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTCat the high end of our prior ranges
We expect operating EBITDA to be within the guidance range we established at the beginning of the year, and we anticipate revenue and free cash flow results to be at the high end of our prior ranges.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$26.3B – $26.5Bmaintained4.2% – 5% vs FY2025
The Company expects to achieve its full-year financial guidance, with revenue expected to be at the high end of the guidance range of $26.275 to $26.475 billion, adjusted operating EBITDA to be within the guidance range of $8.15 to $8.25 billion, and free cash flow to be at the high end of the guidance range of $3.75 to $3.85 billion.(a)
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC$26.3B – $26.5Bmaintained4.2% – 5% vs FY2025
As a result, we are narrowing our full year revenue outlook by about 1.5% to $26.275 billion-$26.475 billion.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 20:43:31 UTC$26.3B – $26.5Blowered -0.6%4.2% – 5% vs FY2025
Revenue is now expected to be between $26.275 and $26.475 billion dollars, reflecting a reduction of approximately 0.6% compared to the prior outlook, primarily driven by lower volume expectations, partially offset by higher energy surcharges.
WM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 20:42:59 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 22:10:55 UTC$26.4B – $26.6Bnew
| Revenue | $26,425 - $26,625 | Growth of 5.2% |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 22:08:51 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 15:42:01 UTC-1%maintained-1% vs FY2025
Overall, our core price and yield are tracking to the high end of our guidance, with volume still expected to be about negative 1% for the year or negative 50 basis points when excluding wildfire cleanup volumes from the prior year.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-28 15:41:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC-1%-1% vs FY2025
Collection and Disposal volumes expected to be relatively flat in the second half, resulting in full year decline approaching 1% or approximately 50 basis points excluding the impact of 2025 wildfire cleanup activity.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-30 05:01:34 UTC-50 bps-50 bps vs FY2025
The fact that on the volume line, when we look at 2026, we have a 50 basis points headwind on volume from that fire volume that we got last year on the West Coast.
WM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-30 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 22:10:55 UTC0.2% – 0.6%new
The outlook for revenue growth is based on core price in 2026 of between 5.4% and 5.8%, yield of between 3.2% and 3.6%, and volumes between 0.2% and 0.6%, overcoming a 50-basis point headwind from wildfire volume in 2025.(f)
WM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 22:08:51 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$250Mnew
| Capital expenditures - sustainability growth investments | | (250 | | |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$2.5Bmaintained-22.5% vs FY2025
| Capital expenditures to support the business | | (2,500 | | |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 20:42:53 UTC$2.5B – $2.5Blowered -7.4%-24.1% – -21% vs FY2025
| Capital expenditures to support the business | | (2,450 | | | (2,550 |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 20:41:53 UTCOpen source
2026-01-30 05:01:34 UTC$2.6B – $2.8Braised +8.0%
We anticipate capital expenditures for 2026 to be between $2.65 billion-$2.75 billion, which is inclusive of about $200 million directed towards high return sustainability projects.
WM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-30 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 22:10:55 UTC$2.5B – $2.5Bnew
| Capital to support the business | $2,450 - $2,550 | Reduction of about $100 million |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 22:08:51 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$4.1Bnew
| Free cash flow without sustainability growth investments | $ | 4,100 | | |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$6.5Braised +2.0%7.6% vs FY2025
| Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | 6,500 | | |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 20:42:53 UTC$6.3B – $6.5Bnew4.3% – 6.7% vs FY2025
| Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | 6,300 | | | 6,450 |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 20:41:53 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$100Mnew
| Proceeds from divestitures of businesses and other assets, net of cash divested | | 100 | | |
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 20:39:30 UTC$2Bmaintained
Through the first nine months of the year, the Company repurchased $1.58 billion of its shares and continues to expect to repurchase a total of $2 billion of its shares in 2026.
WM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 20:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 04:01:41 UTC$2Bmaintained
We commenced our share repurchase program right after our earnings call last quarter. We are on track for the 2 billion for the year. It's going to be a little bit more back-end weighted, call it 55%-60% in the H2 of the year.
WM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 22:10:55 UTC$2B
As announced in December, the Company expects to resume share repurchases during the first quarter of 2026 and repurchase approximately $2 billion of its shares during 2026 while remaining committed to returning to its targeted leverage ratio of between 2.5x and 3.0x during the year.(d)
WM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 22:08:51 UTCOpen source
2025-10-29 04:01:23 UTCa substantial share purchasenew
There could be some M&A and very likely will be a substantial share purchase next year.
WM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC31% – 31.2%maintained
At the same time, we are increasing our 2026 margin expectations by 20 basis points to between 31% and 31.2%, demonstrating our ability to flex cost, drive productivity, and continue growing earnings in a dynamic operating environment.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 20:43:31 UTC31% – 31.2%new
Accordingly, adjusted operating EBITDA margin in 2026 is now expected to be between 31.0% and 31.2%, representing an increase of 20 basis points.
WM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 20:42:59 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC29%new29% vs FY2025
Our guide does call for free cash flow being up 29% year-over-year.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
WMWASTE MANAGEMENT INCFY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric
earnings call · 2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTCat least $300M
Cross-selling initiatives are also contributing, generating $32 million of annual operating EBITDA to date, and we remain on track to deliver more than $300 million of synergies by the end of 2027.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 04:01:41 UTC$300Mnew
We remain on track to achieve a run rate of $300 million of total synergies at the end of 2027, with results reflected across all of our business segments.
WM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
WMWASTE MANAGEMENT INCH4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTCrelatively flatnew
Collection and Disposal volumes expected to be relatively flat in the second half, resulting in full year decline approaching 1% or approximately 50 basis points excluding the impact of 2025 wildfire cleanup activity.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
WMWASTE MANAGEMENT INCFY2027
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTC
2026-07-30 04:01:46 UTCflat to positivenew
Now we're not there yet, but you're starting to see the moderation, and we do think probably sometime middle to end of 2027, we could see a pathway to us getting to flat to positive, and that's where that starts to become a growth opportunity.
WM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source