UPS (UPS) official guidance
UPS (UPS) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.
See the full Filings Intelligence suiteUPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
3 metrics1 raised2 newearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC25%raised +4.2%
Based on their forecasts, we expect average daily volume to increase approximately 25% from the third quarter to the fourth quarter.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:13 UTC24%new
As we build our financial plan that supports the guidance that we just gave, we expect the volume sequentially in the United States to lift about 24% from Q3-Q4, much like it did last year.
UPS · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC-1.3%new
total ADV down 1.3%. Sequentially, we're going up 4 million pieces a day from Q3 to Q4, which is a similar shape to what we've had last year and in prior peaks.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$190Mnew
Lastly, for modeling purposes, in total below the line in the fourth quarter, we expect approximately $190 million in expense, and we expect the tax rate to be approximately 23% in the fourth quarter.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics4 maintainedearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$3Bmaintained-18.6% vs FY2025
Capital expenditures are still expected to be about $3 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:06:22 UTC$3Bmaintained-18.6% vs FY2025
•Capital expenditures of approximately $3.0 billion
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 10:05:34 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:13 UTC$3Bmaintained-18.6% vs FY2025
For the full year 2026, capital expenditures are still expected to be about $3 billion, and we plan to complete our pension contribution of $1.3 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 10:04:38 UTC$3Bmaintained-18.6% vs FY2025
The company also confirms expected capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion and dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 10:03:54 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:39 UTC$3Bmaintained-18.6% vs FY2025
Capital expenditures are still expected to be about $3 billion, and we plan to make our annual pension contribution of $1.3 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 10:09:57 UTC$3Bmaintained-18.6% vs FY2025
The company also confirms expected capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion and dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 10:09:08 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:02:02 UTC$3Bmaintained
But before we factor in the financial impact of a voluntary driver separation program, capital expenditures are expected to be about $3 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:08:54 UTC$3Bnew
The company is planning capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion and dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:08:17 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$3Bmaintained
No, we feel comfortable with it, Jonathan, because a lot of it is related to the hours that ramp down with the Amazon volume. Remember, this was all about the volume that was leaving the network. As those hours exit, that volume comes out. That was always going to be weighted to the last quarter of the target, and we feel comfortable. Additionally, the driver buyout, the roughly 1,600 people finished exiting at the end of the third quarter, so you get the full wrap of that. Then obviously all the buildings now exited. So we feel comfortable with the $3 billion objective.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:06:22 UTC$3Bmaintained
We expect to achieve nearly $3 billion in full year 2026 benefits from these initiatives.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 10:05:34 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:13 UTC$3Bmaintained
As a result, we still expect to deliver approximately $3 billion in related benefits in 2026.
UPS · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 10:04:38 UTC$3Bmaintained
We expect to achieve approximately $3 billion in full year 2026 benefits from these initiatives.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 10:03:54 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:02:02 UTC$3Bmaintained
Pulling it all together, we are targeting $3 billion in savings related to the Amazon glide-down.
UPS · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:08:54 UTC$3Bnew
In connection with the Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined programs described above, we expect savings of approximately $3 billion in 2026.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:08:17 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$5.4Bmaintained
We are still planning to pay out around $5.4 billion in dividends in 2026, subject to board approval, and we expect the tax rate for the full year to be approximately 23%.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:06:22 UTC$5.4Bmaintained
•Dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 10:05:34 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:13 UTC$5.4Bmaintained
Lastly, we are still planning to pay out around $5.4 billion in dividends in 2026, subject to board approval.
UPS · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 10:04:38 UTC$5.4Bmaintained
The company also confirms expected capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion and dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 10:03:54 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:39 UTC$5.4Bmaintained
Lastly, we are still planning to pay out around $5.4 billion in dividends in 2026, subject to board approval.
UPS · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 10:09:57 UTC$5.4Bmaintained
The company also confirms expected capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion and dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 10:09:08 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:02:02 UTC$5.4Bmaintained
We are planning to pay out around $5.4 billion in dividends in 2026, subject to board approval.
UPS · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:08:54 UTC$5.4Bnew
The company is planning capital expenditures of about $3.0 billion and dividend payments of around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:08:17 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC23%maintained78 bps vs FY2025
We are still planning to pay out around $5.4 billion in dividends in 2026, subject to board approval, and we expect the tax rate for the full year to be approximately 23%.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:06:22 UTC23%maintained78 bps vs FY2025
•Effective tax rate of approximately 23%
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 10:05:34 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 10:04:38 UTC23%maintained78 bps vs FY2025
The effective tax rate is still expected to be approximately 23.0%.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 10:03:54 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 10:09:57 UTC23%maintained78 bps vs FY2025
The effective tax rate is still expected to be approximately 23.0%.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 10:09:08 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:02:02 UTC23%maintained
For modeling purposes, in total below the line, we expect approximately $760 million in expense, which includes pension income of approximately $250 million, and we expect the tax rate for the full year to be approximately 23%.
UPS · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:08:54 UTC23%new
The effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 23.0%.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:08:17 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC23%new-149 bps vs Q4 FY2025
Lastly, for modeling purposes, in total below the line in the fourth quarter, we expect approximately $190 million in expense, and we expect the tax rate to be approximately 23% in the fourth quarter.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics1 raised1 newearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$7.28new11% vs FY2025
This implies full-year diluted earnings per share of approximately $7.28.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$6.1Braised +10.9%28% vs FY2025
For the full year 2026, we now expect free cash flow to be approximately $6.1 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:13 UTC$5.5Bmaintained15.4% vs FY2025
We expect free cash flow to be approximately $5.5 billion, which includes the payments for the Driver Choice Program I mentioned earlier.
UPS · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:39 UTC$5.5Blowered -15.4%15.4% vs FY2025
We expect free cash flow to be approximately $5.5 billion, including one-time payments for the Driver Choice Program.
UPS · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:02:02 UTC$6.5Bnew
We expect free cash flow to be approximately $6.5 billion, including our annual pension contribution of $1.3 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCFY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTCcontinue to move upnew
That's helping to drive a free cash flow improvement in the second half and will help us as we go into 2027, where we expect free cash flow to continue to move up and improve our dividend coverage as we grow back into the dividend payout ratio that we've talked about for a long time.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics2 newearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTCat least 3.00xnew
By the end of this year, Happy Returns volume is expected to have more than tripled since we acquired them in 2023.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$8.8Bnew11.2% vs FY2025
For the full year 2026, we now expect consolidated revenue of approximately $92.6 billion and consolidated operating profit of approximately $8.75 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics4 newearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$3.3Bnew28.2% vs Q4 FY2025
For the fourth quarter, we now expect consolidated revenue of approximately $25.7 billion, up approximately 5% year-over-year, and consolidated operating profit of approximately $3.3 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC20%new
With that backdrop, we expect fourth quarter revenue in international to be up approximately 7% and operating margin of approximately 20%.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC12.2%new
In Supply Chain Solutions, in the fourth quarter, we expect revenue to be up nearly 13% and operating margin to be approximately 12.2%.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC10.5%new
We expect an operating margin of approximately 10.5%.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$92.6Bmaintained4.4% vs FY2025
For the full year 2026, we now expect consolidated revenue of approximately $92.6 billion and consolidated operating profit of approximately $8.75 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:06:22 UTC$92.6Braised +1.5%4.4% vs FY2025
For the full year 2026, the company now expects consolidated revenue of approximately $92.6 billion, non-GAAP adjusted operating profit of approximately $8.75 billion, non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS of approximately $7.28, and non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow of approximately $6.1B.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 10:05:34 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:13 UTC$91.2Bmaintained2.9% vs FY2025
Based on our year-to-date results, today, we are raising our full year 2026 consolidated revenue outlook to approximately $91.2 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 10:04:38 UTC$91.2Braised +1.7%2.9% vs FY2025
For the full year 2026, the company is raising its guidance for consolidated revenue to approximately $91.2 billion, consolidated non-GAAP adjusted operating profit to approximately $8.65 billion, and non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS to approximately $7.22.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 10:03:54 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:39 UTC$89.7Bmaintained1.2% vs FY2025
Today, we are reaffirming 2026 consolidated financial goals. For the year, we expect to generate consolidated revenue of approximately $89.7 billion and a consolidated operating margin of approximately 9.6%.
UPS · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 10:09:57 UTC$89.7Bmaintained1.2% vs FY2025
For the full year 2026, the company reaffirms its consolidated financial targets of revenue of approximately $89.7 billion and non-GAAP adjusted operating margin of approximately 9.6%.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 10:09:08 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:02:02 UTC$89.7Bmaintained
For the full year 2026, we expect to generate consolidated revenue of approximately $89.7 billion and a consolidated operating margin of approximately 9.6%.
UPS · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:08:54 UTC$89.7Bnew
For the full year 2026, on a consolidated basis, UPS expects revenue to be approximately $89.7 billion and non-GAAP adjusted operating margin to be approximately 9.6%.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:08:17 UTCOpen source
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics1 new1 maintainedearnings call · 14d
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC$25.7Bmaintained5% vs Q4 FY2025
For the fourth quarter, we now expect consolidated revenue of approximately $25.7 billion, up approximately 5% year-over-year, and consolidated operating profit of approximately $3.3 billion.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:06:22 UTC$25.7Bnew5% vs Q4 FY2025
For the fourth quarter of 2026, on a consolidated basis, UPS expects revenue to be approximately $25.7 billion and non-GAAP adjusted operating profit of approximately $3.3 billion.
UPS · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 10:05:34 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:27 UTC7%new7% vs Q4 FY2025
With that backdrop, we expect fourth quarter revenue in international to be up approximately 7% and operating margin of approximately 20%.
UPS · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source