Union Pacific (UNP) official guidance

Union Pacific (UNP) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.

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UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintained
earnings call · 19d
2026-10-22 14:21:59 UTC$3.5Bmaintained-7.7% vs FY2025
We are also updating our capital spend to $3.5 billion for 2026 as we invest for growth and pull ahead some of the capital work planned for 2027.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 14:21:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-22 11:48:57 UTC$3.5Braised +6.1%-7.7% vs FY2025
•Capital plan of $3.5 billion.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 11:46:52 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTC$3.3Bmaintained-13% vs FY2025
- Capital plan of $3.3 billion.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 11:47:57 UTC$3.3Bmaintained-13% vs FY2025
- Capital plan of $3.3 billion.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 11:46:33 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTC$3.3Bmaintained
In 2026, we are targeting a capital spending of roughly $3.3 billion.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 12:48:26 UTC$3.3Bnew
Capital plan of $3.3 billion.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 12:47:27 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 19d
2026-10-22 14:21:59 UTC$4.85new
Our 2026 reported operating ratio remains challenged by higher fuel prices, as we are currently expecting prices to average around $4.85 per gallon in the fourth quarter.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 14:21:00 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric
earnings call · 19d
2026-10-22 14:21:59 UTCcontinue improving
We are also affirming our ability to continue improving our core operating ratio in 2026 and leading the industry.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 14:21:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTCOperating ratio improvement
•Operating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-04-24 04:01:10 UTCoperating ratio improvement
Looking ahead, we are affirming our 2026 outlook. This includes our expectations for reported earnings per share of mid-single-digit growth and operating ratio improvement.
UNP · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 11:47:57 UTCOperating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating ratio
◦Operating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 11:46:33 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTCimprove our operating ratio versus 2025
We are planning $3.3 billion for 2026 capital improvements, and we will continue to deliver value to our shareholders with consistent annual dividend increases. Importantly, we fully expect to improve our operating ratio versus 2025 and remain the industry leader in operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 12:48:26 UTCOperating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating rationew
Operating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating ratio and return on invested capital
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 12:47:27 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPQ4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 19d
2026-10-22 14:21:59 UTCdouble digitsnew10% – 19% vs Q4 FY2025
International Intermodal has fully lapped last year's tariff volatility, and we expect volume to grow double digits in the fourth quarter.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 14:21:00 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
3 metrics1 maintained
earnings release · 19d
2026-10-22 11:48:57 UTCContinued strong cash generation
•Continued strong cash generation and consistent annual dividend increases.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 11:46:52 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTCContinued strong cash generation
•Continued strong cash generation.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 11:47:57 UTCContinued strong cash generation
◦Continued strong cash generation.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 11:46:33 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 12:48:26 UTCContinued strong cash generationnew
Continued strong cash generation.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 12:47:27 UTCOpen source
2026-10-22 11:48:57 UTCconsistent annual dividend increases
•Continued strong cash generation and consistent annual dividend increases.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 11:46:52 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTCConsistent annual dividend increases
- Consistent annual dividend increases.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 11:47:57 UTCConsistent annual dividend increases
- Consistent annual dividend increases.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 11:46:33 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTCconsistent annual dividend increases
We are planning $3.3 billion for 2026 capital improvements, and we will continue to deliver value to our shareholders with consistent annual dividend increases.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 12:48:26 UTCConsistent annual dividend increasesnew
Consistent annual dividend increases.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 12:47:27 UTCOpen source
2026-10-22 11:48:57 UTChigh-single digitmaintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
Reported earnings per share growth of high-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 11:46:52 UTCOpen source
2026-07-24 04:00:56 UTChigh single-digit rangemaintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
Looking to the remainder of the year, we are raising our 2026 outlook to reported EPS growth in the high single-digit range as we continue to efficiently move increased volume on our network.
UNP · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTChigh-single digitraised +60.0%7% – 9% vs FY2025
•Reported earnings per share growth increased to high-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-04-24 04:01:10 UTCmid-single-digit growthmaintained4% – 6% vs FY2025
Looking ahead, we are affirming our 2026 outlook. This includes our expectations for reported earnings per share of mid-single-digit growth and operating ratio improvement.
UNP · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 11:47:57 UTCmid-single digitmaintained4% – 6% vs FY2025
•Reported earnings per share growth of mid-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 11:46:33 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTCmid-single-digit rangemaintained4% – 6% vs FY2025
Specific to 2026, our earnings outlook is in the mid-single-digit range as we continue to face volume and cost headwinds.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 12:48:26 UTCmid-single digitnew4% – 6% vs FY2025
Earnings per share growth of mid-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single digit to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 12:47:27 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2027+ · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 maintained
earnings release · 19d
2026-10-22 11:48:57 UTChigh-single to low-double digitmaintained
Reported earnings per share growth of high-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 11:46:52 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTChigh-single to low-double digitmaintained
•Reported earnings per share growth increased to high-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-04-24 04:01:10 UTChigh single digit to low double-digit EPS growthmaintained
Beyond 2026, we remain committed to attaining our three-year CAGR target of high single digit to low double-digit EPS growth throughout 2027.
UNP · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 11:47:57 UTChigh-single to low-double digitmaintained
•Reported earnings per share growth of mid-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 11:46:33 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTChigh single- to low double-digit EPS growthmaintained
Despite this different backdrop, we remain committed to attaining our three-year CAGR of high single- to low double-digit EPS growth through 2027.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 12:48:26 UTChigh-single digit to low-double digitnew
Earnings per share growth of mid-single digit; consistent with attaining 3-year CAGR target of high-single digit to low-double digit through 2027.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 12:47:27 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics1 raised
earnings release · 19d
2026-10-22 11:48:57 UTCin excess of inflation dollars
Pricing dollars in excess of inflation dollars.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-22 11:46:52 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTCPricing dollars in excess of inflation dollarsnew
•Pricing dollars in excess of inflation dollars.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-07-24 04:00:56 UTC6%raised +33.3%6% vs FY2025
Although we're confident we'll continue that productivity trend, we now expect full-year compensation per employee to increase around 6%.
UNP · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-24 04:01:10 UTC4% – 5%maintained4% – 5% vs FY2025
We continue to expect full year compensation per employee to increase between 4%-5% as we will work to offset cost inflation with process and technology improvements.
UNP · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTC4% – 5%new4% – 5% vs FY2025
For 2026, we expect our all-in compensation per employee to be up around 4%-5% as we continue to identify opportunities to offset increasing wage and benefit inflation with process improvements, technology, and investments.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPH4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics2 new
earnings call · 2026-07-24 04:00:56 UTC
2026-07-24 04:00:56 UTCoperating ratio improvementnew
We also expect to continue delivering operating ratio improvement and maintain our position of industry leadership, even against ongoing margin pressure from fuel.
UNP · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-24 04:00:56 UTCpositivenew
International intermodal will fully lap last year's tariff volatility in August, and we expect volume to be positive in the second half.
UNP · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric
earnings release · 2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTC
2026-07-23 11:47:55 UTCindustry-leading return on invested capital
•Operating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 11:46:39 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 11:47:57 UTCreturn on invested capital
◦Operating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 11:46:33 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTCremain the industry leader in operating ratio and return on invested capital
Importantly, we fully expect to improve our operating ratio versus 2025 and remain the industry leader in operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 12:48:26 UTCindustry-leading return on invested capitalnew
Operating ratio improvement; industry-leading operating ratio and return on invested capital
UNP · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 12:47:27 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2027+ · ends 2027-12-31
2 metrics2 new
earnings call · 2026-04-24 04:01:10 UTC
2026-04-24 04:01:10 UTCbest-in-class operating rationew
That further translates into affirming our long-term guidance of high single digit to low double digit CAGR through 2027, with best-in-class operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-24 04:01:10 UTCbest-in-classnew
That further translates into affirming our long-term guidance of high single digit to low double digit CAGR through 2027, with best-in-class operating ratio and return on invested capital.
UNP · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTC
2026-01-28 05:01:22 UTCsteadily grownew
In 2026, we expect our cash balances to steadily grow as we first prioritize paying off the $1.5 billion of long-term debt that comes due in the first half of the year, and then conserve cash in anticipation of the merger closing.
UNP · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPFY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
2 metrics2 new
earnings call · 2025-10-24 04:01:52 UTC
2025-10-24 04:01:52 UTCsteadily grownew
As we close out 2025, we expect our cash balance to steadily grow with our strong cash generation.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-24 04:01:52 UTC3%new3% vs FY2024
Compensation per employee increased 2.5% versus last year, and we expect full-year compensation per employee to end up around 3%, which is consistent with the increase we've seen year to date.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPQ4 FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
2 metrics2 new
earnings call · 2025-10-24 04:01:52 UTC
2025-10-24 04:01:52 UTCis expected to continue facing challengesnew
Automotive is expected to continue facing challenges, driven by reduced auto parts production and OEM quality holds.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-24 04:01:52 UTCare expected to remain challengednew
On the other hand, our energy and specialized markets are expected to remain challenged, primarily driven by fewer petroleum shipments as we continue to balance volume at the right margins.
UNP · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source