S&P Global (SPGI) official guidance

S&P Global (SPGI) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.

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SPGIS&P Global Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 raised
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTChigh single-digit billed issuance growthraised +23.1%7% – 9% vs FY2025
Our updated guidance assumes high single-digit billed issuance growth for the full year, reflecting our continued expectations for $250 billion to $300 billion in hyperscaler issuance.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTCmid to high single-digit rangenew4% – 9% vs FY2025
Our updated financial guidance assumes billed issuance growth in the mid to high single-digit range.
SPGI · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC$2Bnew
The expectation right now is about $2 billion of debt at prevailing market rates, and that obviously factors into interest expense that we'll actually cover.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintained
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC$17.7 – $17.95maintained
So we're raising our guidance for adjusted EPS as well to a range of $17.70-$17.95.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 11:16:16 UTC$17.7 – $17.95raised +1.1%
| Diluted EPS | $16.25 to $16.50 | $17.70 to $17.95 |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 11:15:06 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC$17.5 – $17.75maintained
We expect adjusted EPS in the range of $17.50-$17.75, representing double-digit growth across the entire guidance range.
SPGI · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 11:11:27 UTC$17.5 – $17.75lowered -9.7%
| Diluted EPS | $16.35 to $16.60 | $17.50 to $17.75 |
SPGI · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 11:10:15 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 11:11:01 UTC$19.4 – $19.65maintained
| Diluted EPS | $19.40 to $19.65 |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 11:10:07 UTCOpen source
2026-02-11 05:01:46 UTC$19.4 – $19.65maintained
Finally, adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $19.40-$19.65, representing growth of 9%-10% year-over-year, driven by operating income growth and share count reduction, partially offset by a higher tax rate.
SPGI · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-11 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-10 12:11:07 UTC$19.4 – $19.65new
| Diluted EPS | $19.40 to $19.65 |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-10 12:10:08 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC$1.6Bnew
Lastly, for the fourth quarter, we expect adjusted free cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics1 raised1 maintained
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC$250B – $300Bmaintained
Hyperscaler issuance remained strong in the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to approximately $240 billion, and we continue to expect between $250 billion and $300 billion for the full year.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC$250B – $300Bnew
We are now assuming $250 billion-$300 billion in hyperscaler issuance for the full year and double-digit growth in M&A-related issuance.
SPGI · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC20% – 30%raised +72.4%20% – 30% vs FY2025
We now expect 20%-30% growth in M&A issuance this year, given the strength of M&A-related issuance in the third quarter.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTCdouble-digit growthnew10% – 19% vs FY2025
We are now assuming $250 billion-$300 billion in hyperscaler issuance for the full year and double-digit growth in M&A-related issuance.
SPGI · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC$100new
Oil prices remain elevated, and we expect oil to stay around $100 per barrel through the fourth quarter.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
10 metrics7 new3 maintained
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTCstrong, but modestly below the rangenew
For the full year, we expect margin expansion in Energy to be strong, but modestly below the range we are guiding to for the full company.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTCtowards the higher end of the 75-100 basis point company rangenew
For the full year, we expect Indices margins to be towards the higher end of the 75-100 basis point company range.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTCtowards the lower end of the 75-100 basis point rangenew
For the full year, we expect Ratings margin expansion to be towards the lower end of the 75-100 basis point range we just discussed for the company as a whole.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC75 bps – 100 bpsmaintained75 bps – 100 bps vs FY2025
We're also increasing our guidance for adjusted operating margin expansion. We now expect total operating margin expansion into the range of 75-100 basis points.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 11:16:16 UTC75 bps – 100 bpsraised +84.2%75 bps – 100 bps vs FY2025
| Operating Profit Margin expansion | 310 to 335 bps | 75 to 100 bps |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 11:15:06 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 11:11:27 UTC35 bps – 60 bpsraised +111.1%35 bps – 60 bps vs FY2025
| Operating Profit Margin expansion | 335 to 360 bps | 35 to 60 bps |
SPGI · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 11:10:15 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 11:11:01 UTC10 bps – 35 bpsmaintained10 bps – 35 bps vs FY2025
| Operating profit margin expansion | 10 to 35 bps |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 11:10:07 UTCOpen source
2026-02-11 05:01:46 UTC10 bps – 35 bpsmaintained10 bps – 35 bps vs FY2025
Including the impact of OSTTRA, we would expect adjusted operating margins to expand by 10-35 basis points.
SPGI · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-11 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-10 12:11:07 UTC10 bps – 35 bpsnew10 bps – 35 bps vs FY2025
| Operating profit margin expansion | 10 to 35 bps |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-10 12:10:08 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC125 bps – 150 bpsmaintained125 bps – 150 bps vs FY2025
Excluding the impact of OSTTRA, which was divested late last year, we would expect margin expansion of 125-150 basis points.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 11:16:16 UTC125 bps – 150 bpsraised +57.1%125 bps – 150 bps vs FY2025
| Operating Profit Margin expansion, excluding OSTTRA | -- | 125 to 150 bps |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 11:15:06 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC75 bps – 100 bpsmaintained75 bps – 100 bps vs FY2025
We now expect consolidated margin ex OSTTRA to expand 75-100 basis points this year.
SPGI · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 11:11:27 UTC75 bps – 100 bpsraised +40.0%75 bps – 100 bps vs FY2025
| Operating Profit Margin expansion, excluding OSTTRA | -- | 75 to 100 bps |
SPGI · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 11:10:15 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:56 UTC50 bps – 75 bpsmaintained50 bps – 75 bps vs FY2025
We are also reiterating our guidance for 50 to 75 basis points of margin expansion in 2026, excluding the impact of Ostra.
SPGI · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 11:11:01 UTC50 bps – 75 bpsmaintained50 bps – 75 bps vs FY2025
| Operating profit margin expansion, excluding OSTTRA | 50 to 75 bps |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 11:10:07 UTCOpen source
2026-02-11 05:01:46 UTC50 bps – 75 bpsmaintained50 bps – 75 bps vs FY2025
Excluding the contributions from OSTTRA in 2025, we expect to expand margins in 2026 by 50-75 basis points.
SPGI · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-11 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-10 12:11:07 UTC50 bps – 75 bpsnew50 bps – 75 bps vs FY2025
| Operating profit margin expansion, excluding OSTTRA | 50 to 75 bps |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-10 12:10:08 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC4.5% – 6%new4.5% – 6% vs FY2025
We continue to expect organic constant currency growth of 4.5%-6% for the full year.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC17% – 18.5%new17% – 18.5% vs FY2025
For Indices, we now expect organic constant currency growth in the range of 17%-18.5% as we continue to benefit from strong equity valuations and strong net flows.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC5.5% – 7%new5.5% – 7% vs FY2025
For Market Intelligence for the full year, we continue to expect organic constant currency growth of 5.5%-7%.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC6.5% – 8%new6.5% – 8% vs FY2025
We now expect organic constant currency revenue growth of 6.5%-8%.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC7.5% – 8.5%maintained7.5% – 8.5% vs FY2025
Given the outperformance in both Ratings and Indices year to date, we're raising our full year guidance for organic constant currency growth to a range of 7.5%-8.5%.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 11:16:16 UTC7.5% – 8.5%raised +14.3%7.5% – 8.5% vs FY2025
| Organic, Constant Currency Revenue growth | -- | 7.5% to 8.5% |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 11:15:06 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC6% – 8%maintained6% – 8% vs FY2025
On a consolidated basis, we expect organic constant currency revenue growth in the range of 6%-8%.
SPGI · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-28 11:11:27 UTC6% – 8%maintained6% – 8% vs FY2025
| Organic, Constant Currency Revenue growth | -- | 6.0% to 8.0% |
SPGI · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-28 11:10:15 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:56 UTC6% – 8%maintained6% – 8% vs FY2025
At the consolidated level, we are reiterating our guidance for organic constant currency revenue growth in the range of 6%-8%.
SPGI · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 11:11:01 UTC6% – 8%maintained6% – 8% vs FY2025
| Organic, Constant Currency Revenue growth | 6.0% to 8.0% |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 11:10:07 UTCOpen source
2026-02-11 05:01:46 UTC6% – 8%maintained6% – 8% vs FY2025
On an organic constant currency basis, we expect revenue growth of 6%-8%.
SPGI · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-11 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-10 12:11:07 UTC6% – 8%new6% – 8% vs FY2025
| Organic, Constant Currency Revenue growth | 6.0% to 8.0% |
SPGI · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-10 12:10:08 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.FY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
2 metrics2 new
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTC6% – 8%new6% – 8% vs FY2026
The near-term environment remains uncertain, but we continue to believe these headwinds are transitory, and we continue to expect organic constant currency growth to normalize in 2027 to within the 6%-8% average range we outlined at our 2025 Investor Day.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTCa couple percentage points of incremental total index revenue growthnew2% – 3% vs FY2026
The contract extension will not impact 2026 financial results, but we do expect a couple percentage points of incremental total index revenue growth in 2027.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
SPGIS&P Global Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric
earnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:28 UTCat least $7B40% vs FY2025
On capital return, we have repurchased $4 billion in shares so far this year, and we are on track to complete more than $7 billion in repurchases by year-end.
SPGI · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 11:16:16 UTCat least $7B40% vs FY2025
The Company continues to expect to repurchase more than $7 billion in shares in total in 2026.
SPGI · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 11:15:06 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC$7Braised +55.6%40% vs FY2025
In aggregate, this means we expect to repurchase $7 billion in shares this year, representing more than 5% of our total market capitalization at the current share price.
SPGI · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:56 UTC$4.5Braised +350.0%-10% vs FY2025
Given the strength and resilience of our business and our confidence in its long-term profitable growth, we believe the current share price reflects an attractive opportunity to increase our repurchases from the expected 85% of adjusted free cash flow to at least 100% or to roughly $4.5 billion for the year.
SPGI · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-11 05:01:46 UTC$1Bnew-80% vs FY2025
You know, just given the market environment, the strength of our balance sheet, but also, you know, the stock price levels that we're seeing, we're likely to do a higher buyback this first quarter in 2026. I think last year was in the $650 million range. This year, we're targeting about $1 billion of buyback and see that as a way to expand EPS in these volatile markets.
SPGI · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-11 05:00:00 UTCOpen source