Philip Morris (PM) official guidance
Philip Morris (PM) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.
See the full Filings Intelligence suitePMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics1 new1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC$0.15new
In dollar terms, we now forecast a currency tailwind of around $0.15 at prevailing rates.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC$8.26 – $8.41maintained
Translating into an adjusted diluted EPS range of $8.26 to $8.41, an increase of 9.5% to +11.5%.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC$8.26 – $8.41lowered -1.2%
| Adjusted Diluted EPS | $8.26 | - | $8.41 | $ 7.54 | 9.5% | - | 11.5% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC$8.36 – $8.51maintained
This results in an updated adjusted diluted EPS forecast of $8.36-$8.51 or +10.9% to +12.9% growth in dollar terms.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC$8.36 – $8.51lowered -0.4%
| Adjusted Diluted EPS | $8.36 | - | $8.51 | $ 7.54 | 10.9% | - | 12.9% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC$8.39 – $8.54raised +0.1%
Including an estimated $0.28 currency benefit at prevailing exchange rates, this translates to 11.3%-13.3% growth to a range of $8.39-$8.54, which would mark another year of double-digit EPS growth in dollar terms.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC$8.38 – $8.53new
| Adjusted Diluted EPS | $8.38 | - | $8.53 | $ 7.54 | 11.1% | - | 13.1% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q3 FY2026 · ends 2026-09-30
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC$2.2 – $2.25maintained
We target adjusted diluted EPS of $2.20 to $2.25, including an unfavorable currency impact of $0.08 at prevailing exchange rate.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC$2.2 – $2.25new
•Third quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $2.20 to $2.25, including an estimated unfavorable currency impact of 8 cents at prevailing exchange rates.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC7.5% – 9.5%maintained7.5% – 9.5% vs FY2025
For 2026, we continue to target organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7%, organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%, and currency neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth of +7.5% to +9.5%.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC7.5% – 9.5%maintained7.5% – 9.5% vs FY2025
We continue to expect broadly stable shipment volumes, organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7%, organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%, and currency-neutral adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of +7.5% to +9.5%.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC7.5% – 9.5%new7.5% – 9.5% vs FY2025
We are forecasting currency-neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth of 7.5%-9.5%, factoring in broadly stable net finance costs and an effective corporate tax rate approximately in line with 2025 at around 21.5%.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q3 FY2026 · ends 2026-09-30
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTCmid-single-digit international smoke-free organic gross profit growthnew4% – 6% vs Q3 FY2025
For Q3, specifically, we expect HTU shipment volume of around 41 billion units against a strong Q3 2025, when HTU shipment grew by 15.5%. We, thus, expect mid-single-digit international smoke-free organic net revenue and gross profit growth.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
3 metrics2 maintainedearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC$13.5Bmaintained10.4% vs FY2025
We continue to expect operating cash flow generation of around $13.5 billion, providing further flexibility to support both investment and continued attractive shareholder return.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC$13.5Bmaintained10.4% vs FY2025
•Operating cash flow around $13.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates, subject to year-end working capital requirements;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC$13.5Bmaintained10.4% vs FY2025
•Operating cash flow around $13.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates, subject to year-end working capital requirements;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC$13.5Bmaintained10.4% vs FY2025
We expect a significant acceleration in operating cash flow growth at around $13.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates and subject to year-end working capital requirements.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC$13.5Bnew10.4% vs FY2025
•Operating cash flow around $13.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates, subject to year-end working capital requirements;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC7% – 9%maintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
For 2026, we continue to target organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7%, organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%, and currency neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth of +7.5% to +9.5%.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC7% – 9%maintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
•Organic operating income growth of 7% to 9%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC7% – 9%maintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
We continue to expect broadly stable shipment volumes, organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7%, organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%, and currency-neutral adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of +7.5% to +9.5%.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC7% – 9%maintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
•Organic operating income growth of 7% to 9%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC7% – 9%maintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
We expect the same factors, in addition to operating leverage and ongoing cost efficiencies, to drive further robust margin expansion, with projected organic operating income growth of 7%-9%.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC7% – 9%new7% – 9% vs FY2025
•Organic operating income growth of 7% to 9%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTCorganic operating income margin expansion
As implied in our full year forecast, we expect to deliver organic operating income margin expansion for the full year.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTCorganic margin expansionnew
We remain on track for full year organic margin expansion in 2026.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q3 FY2026 · ends 2026-09-30
2 metrics2 newearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTCmodest organic margin expansionnew
For PMI overall, we forecast mid-single digit Q3 organic top line growth with modest organic margin expansion.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTCmid-single-digit international smoke-free organic net revenue growthnew4% – 6% vs Q3 FY2025
For Q3, specifically, we expect HTU shipment volume of around 41 billion units against a strong Q3 2025, when HTU shipment grew by 15.5%. We, thus, expect mid-single-digit international smoke-free organic net revenue and gross profit growth.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2025
For 2026, we continue to target organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7%, organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%, and currency neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth of +7.5% to +9.5%.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2025
•Net revenue growth of 5% to 7% on an organic basis;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2025
We continue to expect broadly stable shipment volumes, organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7%, organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%, and currency-neutral adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of +7.5% to +9.5%.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2025
•Net revenue growth of 5% to 7% on an organic basis;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2025
Taking all these elements into account, we forecast 2026 organic net revenue growth of 5%-7%.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC5% – 7%new5% – 7% vs FY2025
•Net revenue growth of 5% to 7% on an organic basis;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q3 FY2026 · ends 2026-09-30
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTCmid-single digit Q3 organic top line growthnew4% – 6% vs Q3 FY2025
For PMI overall, we forecast mid-single digit Q3 organic top line growth with modest organic margin expansion.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metricearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTCat least 7%7% vs FY2025
While we expect some moderation in H2 due to timing factors and annualization, we now forecast a pricing variance of more than 7% for the full year.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTCat least 6%6% vs FY2025
While we expect some moderation, notably in the second half of the year, due to timing and comparison effect, we now forecast a full year variance of more than 6%.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC6%new6% vs FY2025
For 2026, we forecast a combustible pricing variance of around +6%, reflecting continued dynamic performance.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q3 FY2026 · ends 2026-09-30
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC41Bnew
For Q3, specifically, we expect HTU shipment volume of around 41 billion units against a strong Q3 2025, when HTU shipment grew by 15.5%.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
12 metrics1 raised1 lowered1 new6 maintainedearnings call · 2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTC
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTChigh single-digit growthmaintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
Taken together, we now expect total shipment volume to be around stable to slightly positive for the full year, with high single-digit growth in smoke-free product broadly offsetting the decline in cigarettes.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTChigh-single digit SFP shipment volume growthmaintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
•Broadly stable to slightly growing (previously broadly stable) total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of 2% to 3% (previously around 3%);
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTChigh single-digit volume progressionmaintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
We continue to expect strong global smoke-free growth for the full year, supported by high single-digit volume progression and normalizing U.S. comparison.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTChigh-single digit SFP shipment volume growthmaintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
•Broadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of around 3%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTChigh single digitmaintained7% – 9% vs FY2025
Both shipments and adjusted IMS volumes are projected to grow in a high single digit after factoring in the headwinds from Japan excise taxes and U.S. ZYN inventory comparisons described earlier.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTChigh-single digit SFP shipment volume growthnew7% – 9% vs FY2025
•Broadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of around 3%, including the impact of weaker industry volume in India and Mexico, and the ongoing recovery of our business in Turkey;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-23 04:01:26 UTCaround stable to slightly positive
Taken together, we now expect total shipment volume to be around stable to slightly positive for the full year, with high single-digit growth in smoke-free product broadly offsetting the decline in cigarettes.
PM · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTCbroadly stablenew
Altogether, this results in a broadly stable outlook for total shipment growth, subject to the usual variability in shipment timing and trade inventory movements, as compared to a forecast total industry decline of around 2% for cigarettes and HTUs.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC$0.5maintained
•Full-year amortization of acquired intangibles of $0.50 per share;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC$0.5lowered -2.0%
•Full-year amortization of acquired intangibles of $0.50 per share;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC$0.51new
•Full-year amortization of acquired intangibles of $0.51 per share;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC$1.4B – $1.6Bmaintained-10.8% – 2% vs FY2025
•Capital expenditures of $1.4 to $1.6 billion, predominantly supporting the smoke-free business;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC$1.4B – $1.6Bmaintained-10.8% – 2% vs FY2025
•Capital expenditures of $1.4 to $1.6 billion, predominantly supporting the smoke-free business;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC$1.4B – $1.6Bnew-10.8% – 2% vs FY2025
•Capital expenditures of $1.4 to $1.6 billion, predominantly due to investments supporting the smoke-free business;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC21.5%maintained273 bps vs FY2025
•An effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax events, of around 21.5%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC21.5%maintained273 bps vs FY2025
•An effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax events, of around 21.5%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC21.5%maintained273 bps vs FY2025
We are forecasting currency-neutral adjusted diluted EPS growth of 7.5%-9.5%, factoring in broadly stable net finance costs and an effective corporate tax rate approximately in line with 2025 at around 21.5%.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC21.5%new273 bps vs FY2025
•An effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax events, of around 21.5%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC$7.19 – $7.34lowered -4.8%-1% – 1.1% vs FY2025
Reported diluted EPS is forecast to be in a range of $7.19 to $7.34, at prevailing exchange rates.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC$7.56 – $7.71lowered -3.9%4.1% – 6.2% vs FY2025
Reported diluted EPS is forecast to be in a range of $7.56 to $7.71, at prevailing exchange rates. Excluding a total 2026 adjustment of $0.80 per share, this forecast represents a projected increase of 10.9% to 12.9% versus adjusted diluted EPS of $7.54 in 2025. Also excluding a favorable currency impact of $0.25, at prevailing exchange rates, this forecast represents a projected increase of 7.5% to 9.5% versus adjusted diluted EPS of $7.54 in 2025, as outlined in the above table.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC$7.87 – $8.02new8.4% – 10.5% vs FY2025
Reported diluted EPS is forecast to be in a range of $7.87 to $8.02, at prevailing exchange rates, versus reported diluted EPS of $7.26 in 2025.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC$8.11 – $8.26maintained
| Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency | $8.11 | - | $8.26 | $ 7.54 | 7.5% | - | 9.5% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC$8.11 – $8.26maintained
| Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency | $8.11 | - | $8.26 | $ 7.54 | 7.5% | - | 9.5% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC$8.11 – $8.26new
| Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency | $8.11 | - | $8.26 | $ 7.54 | 7.5% | - | 9.5% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC2.00xmaintained
•Further net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improvement as we target a ratio of close to 2.0x by the end of 2026, at prevailing exchange rates;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC2.00xmaintained
•Further net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improvement as we target a ratio of close to 2.0x by the end of 2026, at prevailing exchange rates;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC2.00xmaintained
•Further net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improvement as we target a ratio of close to 2.0x by the end of 2026, at prevailing exchange rates;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC2.00xnew
•Further net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improvement as we continue to target a ratio of around 2x by the end of 2026;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTCBroadly stablenew
•Broadly stable net financing costs;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTCNo share repurchases
•No share repurchases; and
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTCNo share repurchases
•No share repurchases;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTCNo share repurchasesnew
•No share repurchases; and
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTCBroadly stable to slightly growing
•Broadly stable to slightly growing (previously broadly stable) total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of 2% to 3% (previously around 3%);
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTCbroadly stable shipment volumes
We continue to expect broadly stable shipment volumes, organic net revenue growth of +5% to +7%, organic operating income growth of +7% to +9%, and currency-neutral adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of +7.5% to +9.5%.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTCBroadly stable
•Broadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of around 3%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTCBroadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volumenew
•Broadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of around 3%, including the impact of weaker industry volume in India and Mexico, and the ongoing recovery of our business in Turkey;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 11:03:26 UTC-3% – -2%raised +16.7%-3% – -2% vs FY2025
•Broadly stable to slightly growing (previously broadly stable) total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of 2% to 3% (previously around 3%);
PM · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 11:02:12 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC-3%maintained-3% vs FY2025
Looking ahead, we expect volume declines to moderate over the coming quarters, and we continue to forecast a cigarette volume decline of around 3% for the full year.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC-3%maintained-3% vs FY2025
•Broadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of around 3%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC-3%maintained-3% vs FY2025
For combustibles, we forecast a cigarette decline of around 3%, with weaker industry volumes in India and Mexico following recent excise tax increases, and our ongoing recovery in Turkey likely to impact comparisons in the first half.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC-3%new-3% vs FY2025
•Broadly stable total PMI cigarette and SFP shipment volume, with high-single digit SFP shipment volume growth, and a cigarette shipment volume decline of around 3%, including the impact of weaker industry volume in India and Mexico, and the ongoing recovery of our business in Turkey;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q2 FY2026 · ends 2026-06-30
6 metrics5 new1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTCslower HTU adjusted IMS growthnew
For the second quarter, we expect continued strong performance from our international business and a sequential improvement in growth with HTU shipment volume of 40 billion-42 billion, slower HTU adjusted IMS growth due to the short-term impact of excise-driven pricing in Japan, and a low single-digit cigarette shipment volume decline.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC$2.02 – $2.07maintained
We forecast adjusted diluted EPS of $2.02-$2.07, including a higher effective tax rate and a favorable currency variance of $0.02 at prevailing rates.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC$2.02 – $2.07new
•Second quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $2.02 to $2.07, including an estimated favorable currency impact of 2 cents at prevailing exchange rates.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTCsolid operating income progressionnew
We expect mid-single-digit organic net revenue growth and solid operating income progression despite another quarter of strong commercial investment.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTCmid-single-digit organic net revenue growthnew4% – 6% vs Q2 FY2025
We expect mid-single-digit organic net revenue growth and solid operating income progression despite another quarter of strong commercial investment.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC40B – 42Bnew
For the second quarter, we expect continued strong performance from our international business and a sequential improvement in growth with HTU shipment volume of 40 billion-42 billion, slower HTU adjusted IMS growth due to the short-term impact of excise-driven pricing in Japan, and a low single-digit cigarette shipment volume decline.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC180Mnew
Our base expectation is that ZYN shipments should broadly track offtake growth in future quarters against the estimated underlying 2025 basis provided in February of approximately 180 million cans in Q2, 205 million cans in Q3, and 200 million cans in Q4.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q3 FY2026 · ends 2026-09-30
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC205Mnew
Our base expectation is that ZYN shipments should broadly track offtake growth in future quarters against the estimated underlying 2025 basis provided in February of approximately 180 million cans in Q2, 205 million cans in Q3, and 200 million cans in Q4.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC200Mnew
Our base expectation is that ZYN shipments should broadly track offtake growth in future quarters against the estimated underlying 2025 basis provided in February of approximately 180 million cans in Q2, 205 million cans in Q3, and 200 million cans in Q4.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q2 FY2026 · ends 2026-06-30
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTC
2026-04-23 04:01:39 UTClow single-digit cigarette shipment volume declinenew-3% – -1% vs Q2 FY2025
For the second quarter, we expect continued strong performance from our international business and a sequential improvement in growth with HTU shipment volume of 40 billion-42 billion, slower HTU adjusted IMS growth due to the short-term impact of excise-driven pricing in Japan, and a low single-digit cigarette shipment volume decline.
PM · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-23 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
2 metrics1 new1 maintainedearnings release · 2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC
2026-04-22 11:03:52 UTC-2%maintained-2% vs FY2025
•An estimated industry volume decline of around 2% for cigarettes and HTUs, excluding China and the U.S.;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 11:02:41 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC-2%new-2% vs FY2025
Altogether, this results in a broadly stable outlook for total shipment growth, subject to the usual variability in shipment timing and trade inventory movements, as compared to a forecast total industry decline of around 2% for cigarettes and HTUs.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTChigh single digitnew7% – 9% vs FY2025
Both shipments and adjusted IMS volumes are projected to grow in a high single digit after factoring in the headwinds from Japan excise taxes and U.S. ZYN inventory comparisons described earlier.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2028+ · ends 2028-12-31
3 metrics2 new1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTChigh single-digit to low teensnew
We target smoke-free product shipment and Adjusted IMS volume growth of high single-digit to low teens.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC$1.3B – $1.5Bnew
We anticipate capital expenditures of approximately $1.3-$1.5 billion per annum on average, with the potential for lower amounts beyond 2026, and the lion's share of investments again focus on smoke-free products.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC9% – 11%maintained
For the three-year period to 2028, we continue to target compound annual growth rates of 6%-8% in organic net revenues, 8%-10% in organic operating income as margins expand, and 9%-11% in adjusted diluted EPS at constant currency.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC9% – 11%new
–9% to 11% for adjusted diluted EPS, excluding currency, assuming current corporate income tax rates and no share repurchases.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC2.00xmaintained
We expect further improvements in 2026, targeting close to the 2x by year-end at prevailing exchange rates, providing increased flexibility for capital allocation.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC2.00xnew
Importantly, we remain on track for our target ratio of around 2x net debt to EBITDA, by the 2026.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2028+ · ends 2028-12-31
2 metrics1 new1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC$45Bnew
Over the next three years, we target aggregate operating cash flow of around $45 billion at prevailing exchange rates.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC8% – 10%maintained
For the three-year period to 2028, we continue to target compound annual growth rates of 6%-8% in organic net revenues, 8%-10% in organic operating income as margins expand, and 9%-11% in adjusted diluted EPS at constant currency.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC8% – 10%new
–8% to 10% for operating income, on an organic basis;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q1 FY2026 · ends 2026-03-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTCbroadly flat year-on-yearnew
A higher quarter of investment globally behind our smoke-free due to phasing, we anticipate broadly flat year-on-year first-quarter organic net revenue and operating income.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2028+ · ends 2028-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC6% – 8%maintained
For the three-year period to 2028, we continue to target compound annual growth rates of 6%-8% in organic net revenues, 8%-10% in organic operating income as margins expand, and 9%-11% in adjusted diluted EPS at constant currency.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC6% – 8%new
–6% to 8% for net revenues, on an organic basis, with SFP volume growth of high single-digit to low-teens driving total shipment volume growth;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q1 FY2026 · ends 2026-03-31
2 metrics2 newearnings call · 2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTCbroadly flat year-on-yearnew
A higher quarter of investment globally behind our smoke-free due to phasing, we anticipate broadly flat year-on-year first-quarter organic net revenue and operating income.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTCat most -5%new-5% vs Q1 FY2025
We expect first-quarter combustible volumes to decline by up to 5% as we lap a prior year quarter of volume growth, whilst having the highest expected impact of the dynamics in Turkey, India, and Mexico, which I mentioned for the full year.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2028+ · ends 2028-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTC
2026-02-07 05:01:33 UTChigh single-digit to low teensmaintained
We target smoke-free product shipment and Adjusted IMS volume growth of high single-digit to low teens.
PM · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTChigh single-digit to low-teensnew
–6% to 8% for net revenues, on an organic basis, with SFP volume growth of high single-digit to low-teens driving total shipment volume growth;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q1 FY2026 · ends 2026-03-31
1 metric1 newearnings release · 2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC$1.8 – $1.85new
•First quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $1.80 to $1.85, including an estimated favorable currency impact of 14 cents at prevailing exchange rates.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings release · 2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC
2026-02-06 12:03:51 UTC-2%new-2% vs FY2025
•An estimated total international industry volume decline of around 2% for cigarettes and HTUs, excluding China and the U.S.;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 12:02:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
4 metrics3 new1 maintainedearnings call · 2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC10% – 12%maintained10% – 12% vs FY2024
This Q4 HTU forecast includes modestly lower channel inventory and a reversal of around 2 billion units, due to timing impact with HTU shipment growth thus broadly in line with our plus 10 to plus 12 adjusted IMS growth forecast for 2025 overall.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC10% – 12%new10% – 12% vs FY2024
SFP volume growth continues to assume 10% to 12% growth in HTU adjusted IMS volumes, and U.S. nicotine pouch second-half shipment growth broadly in-line with offtake growth before trade inventory movements.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC22%new
The 2025 forecast includes an adjusted effective tax rate of around 22% for the year based on the latest assessment of tax dynamic and market. Mix.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC13.5% – 15.1%new13.5% – 15.1% vs FY2024
We are raising our adjusted diluted earnings per share forecast to the mid to upper end of our previous currency neutral growth range at plus 12 to plus 13.5%, which translate into plus 13.5% to plus 15.1% in dollar term.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC12% – 13.5%new12% – 13.5% vs FY2024
We are raising our adjusted diluted earnings per share forecast to the mid to upper end of our previous currency neutral growth range at plus 12 to plus 13.5%, which translate into plus 13.5% to plus 15.1% in dollar term.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2025
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC20M – 30Mnew
We anticipate a 20 million to 30 million can inventory reduction in the coming months, this impact being effectively delayed from Q3 given strong September promotional activity.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
4 metrics2 new1 maintainedearnings call · 2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTCat least $11.5B-5.9% vs FY2024
In addition, we are upgrading our full year operating cash flow forecast to more than $11.5 billion at prevailing exchange rate subject to year-end working capital requirement.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTCat least $11.5Bnew-5.9% vs FY2024
•Operating cash flow of more than $11.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates, subject to year-end working capital requirements;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC10% – 11.5%maintained10% – 11.5% vs FY2024
We expect another year of double-digit organic operating income progression, where we now forecast plus 10 to plus 11.5% growth for the year including the same factor as net revenues.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC10% – 11.5%new10% – 11.5% vs FY2024
•Organic operating income growth of 10% to 11.5%, including the impact of higher U.S. investments;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTCat least 40%new
We expect this growth to drive strong adjusted OI margin expansion to land firmly back above 40%.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC6% – 8%new6% – 8% vs FY2024
We continue to forecast organic net revenue growth of plus six to plus 8%, driven by positive volumes smoke remix and pricing.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.Q4 FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC38Bnew
Smoke reshipment growth is more likely to be in the lower half of this range, factoring in the potential inventory adjustments for ZYN I described, and expected IQOS HTU shipments of close to 38 billion units in Q4.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC-2%maintained-2% vs FY2024
This starts with shipments, where we continue to target total PMI growth of around plus 1%. Our fifth consecutive year of volume growth including a cigarette decline of around 2%, smoke-free volume growth of plus 12 to plus 14%.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC-2%new-2% vs FY2024
We expect smoke-free product volume growth of 12% to 14%, partly offset by cigarette volume declines of around 2%.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.H4 FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC-4% – -3%new-4% – -3% vs Q4 FY2024
When it comes to combustible, and it's still 50% plus of the group, we expect to be again between 3% to 4% decline in volume, so nothing has changed in our vision of H2.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
PMPhilip Morris International Inc.FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
11 metrics9 new2 maintainedearnings call · 2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC12% – 14%maintained12% – 14% vs FY2024
This starts with shipments, where we continue to target total PMI growth of around plus 1%. Our fifth consecutive year of volume growth including a cigarette decline of around 2%, smoke-free volume growth of plus 12 to plus 14%.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC12% – 14%new12% – 14% vs FY2024
•Total cigarette and smoke-free product shipment volume growth for PMI of around 1%. We expect smoke-free product volume growth of 12% to 14%, partly offset by cigarette volume declines of around 2%.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:44 UTC1%maintained1% vs FY2024
This starts with shipments, where we continue to target total PMI growth of around plus 1%.
PM · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC1%new1% vs FY2024
•Total cigarette and smoke-free product shipment volume growth for PMI of around 1%. We expect smoke-free product volume growth of 12% to 14%, partly offset by cigarette volume declines of around 2%. SFP volume growth continues to assume 10% to 12% growth in HTU adjusted IMS volumes, and U.S. nicotine pouch second-half shipment growth broadly in-line with offtake growth before trade inventory movements.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC$0.5new
•Full-year amortization of acquired intangibles of $0.50 per share, including the amortization of IQOS commercialization rights in the U.S. related to the agreement to end our commercial relationship with Altria Group, Inc. covering IQOS in the U.S.;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC$1.6Bnew10.8% vs FY2024
•Capital expenditures of around $1.6 billion, almost entirely due to investments supporting the smoke-free business;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC22%new249 bps vs FY2024
•An effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax events, of around 22%;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC$7.46 – $7.56new
| Adjusted Diluted EPS | $7.46 | - | $7.56 | $ 6.57 | 13.5% | - | 15.1% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC$7.39 – $7.49new63.5% – 65.7% vs FY2024
Reported diluted EPS is forecast to be in a range of $7.39 to $7.49, at prevailing exchange rates, versus reported diluted EPS of $4.52 in 2024.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC$7.36 – $7.46new
| Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency | $7.36 | - | $7.46 | $ 6.57 | 12.0% | - | 13.5% |
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC-1%new-1% vs FY2024
•An estimated total international industry volume decline of around 1% for cigarettes and HTUs, excluding China and the U.S.;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTC6% – 8%new6% – 8% vs FY2024
•Net revenue growth of around 6% to 8% on an organic basis;
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source
2025-10-21 11:04:56 UTCNo share repurchases in 2025new
•No share repurchases in 2025.
PM · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-21 11:03:32 UTCOpen source