Northrop Grumman (NOC) official guidance

Northrop Grumman (NOC) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.

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NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTCat least 1.30x
We expect continued strong awards in the fourth quarter and a full year book-to-bill ratio of at least 1.3.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTCat least 1.25x
Based on our strong Q2 results and accelerating momentum, we are increasing our financial guidance for 2026. Robust bookings are continuing, and we now expect a full year book-to-bill ratio of at least 1.25 times.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTC1.00xnew
When we think about 2026, given the strong backlog and the fact that we have some large significant programs with existing backlog, you should anticipate that book-to-bill around 1x sales for 2026.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC$2.1Bnew
In total, we expect approximately $2.1 billion in 2027 CapEx.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC$1Bnew51.1% vs Q4 FY2025
In the fourth quarter, we expect a meaningful step up in the level of CapEx to support some of the key initiatives, including B-21. You can think about the fourth quarter CapEx to be approaching $1 billion.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 maintained
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC4.5%maintained
Capital expenditures continue to be projected at 4.5% of sales as we build out the capacity to support a higher B-21 production rate.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTC4.5%new
As we previously shared, we expect CapEx investments of around 4.5% of sales in 2027 and 2028 as we invest in infrastructure to support the B-21 production ramp.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintained
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC$3.1B – $3.5Bmaintained
We are maintaining our adjusted free cash flow guidance at $3.1 billion to $3.5 billion for the year.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTC$3.1B – $3.5Bmaintained
| Adjusted free cash flow1 | $3,100 — $3,500 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTC$3.1B – $3.5Bmaintained
We are reaffirming our guidance range for adjusted free cash flow of $3.1 billion-$3.5 billion.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC$3.1B – $3.5Bmaintained
| Adjusted free cash flow1 | $3,100 — $3,500 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTC$3.1B – $3.5Bmaintained
| Free cash flow1 | $3,100 — $3,500 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTC$3.1B – $3.5Bnew
| Free cash flow1 | $3,100 — $3,500 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC$3.3B – $3.7Bnew
We also expect a 2027 adjusted free cash flow in the range of $3.3 billion-$3.7 billion.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics1 raised3 maintained
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC$4.9B – $5Bmaintained
The updated guidance range of $4.94 billion to $5.04 billion reflect a full year segment operating margin rate of approximately 11.3% at the midpoint.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTC$4.9B – $5Braised +1.3%
| Segment operating income1 | $4,940 — $5,040 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC$4.8B – $5Bmaintained
| Segment operating income1 | $4,850 — $5,000 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTC$4.8B – $5Bmaintained
| Segment operating income1 | $4,850 — $5,000 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTC$4.8B – $5Bnew
| Segment operating income1 | $4,850 — $5,000 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTChigh 9%maintained
For operating income, we are increasing our guidance at AS to high 9% and at MS to mid 15% due to their excellent program execution.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTCHigh 9%
| Aeronautics Systems | ~$14 | High 9% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTCthe mid-to-high 9% range
On the bottom line, we are raising AS' operating margin rate to the mid-to-high 9% range, reflecting strong performance in the first half of the year and continued positive expectations for the second half.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC9%maintained
| Aeronautics Systems | ~$14 | Mid to High 9% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTCLow to Mid 9%lowered -2.7%
| Aeronautics Systems | Mid $13 | Low to Mid 9% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTClow to mid 9%
Margins are projected to be low to mid 9%, reflecting the higher mix of development programs.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTCLow to Mid 9%new
| Aeronautics Systems | Mid $13 | Low to Mid 9% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTCmid 15%maintained
For operating income, we are increasing our guidance at AS to high 9% and at MS to mid 15% due to their excellent program execution.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTCMid 15%maintained
| Mission Systems | High $12 | Mid 15% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTC15%maintained
At Mission Systems, we are maintaining our guidance of high $12 billion in 2026 sales while raising our margin rate expectations to approximately 15%.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC15%raised +3.4%
| Mission Systems | High $12 | ~15% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTCHigh 14%lowered -1.4%
| Mission Systems | High $12 | High 14% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTChigh 14% range
Investments in digital technology and factory utilization continue to drive efficiency improvements, with margin expected to improve further into the high 14% range this year.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTCHigh 14%new
| Mission Systems | High $12 | High 14% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC11.3%raised +0.4%110 bps vs FY2025
The updated guidance range of $4.94 billion to $5.04 billion reflect a full year segment operating margin rate of approximately 11.3% at the midpoint.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 04:01:09 UTClow- to mid-11% margin ratemaintained80 bps – 130 bps vs FY2025
Segment operating income guidance reflects continued strong performance and a low- to mid-11% margin rate.
NOC · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTClow to mid 11%maintained80 bps – 130 bps vs FY2025
2026 segment operating income is projected to be between $4.85 billion-$5 billion, reflecting continued strong performance and a low to mid 11% segment operating margin.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-22 04:01:17 UTClow to mid 11% rangenew
We expect a segment OM rate in the low to mid 11% range.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTCmid to high 11%new262 bps – 302 bps vs Q4 FY2025
Collectively, this implies a fourth quarter segment operating margin rate of mid to high 11%, driven by production mix and continued strong operating performance.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC10 bps – 20 bpsnew
Beyond 2027, we are confident that sales growth will continue to accelerate. We expect segment operating income will grow faster than sales with 10 to 20 basis points of margin expansion beyond the current 2026 guidance midpoint.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintained
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC$43.8B – $44.3Bmaintained4.3% – 5.5% vs FY2025
We continue to expect full year sales of $43.75 billion to $44.25 billion.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTC$43.8B – $44.3Bmaintained4.3% – 5.5% vs FY2025
| Sales | $43,750 — $44,250 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTC$43.8B – $44.3Bmaintained4.3% – 5.5% vs FY2025
As Kathy outlined earlier in the call, we are increasing our sales guidance to a range of $43.75 billion-$44.25 billion.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC$43.8B – $44.3Braised +0.6%4.3% – 5.5% vs FY2025
| Sales | $43,750 — $44,250 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-22 04:01:09 UTC$43.5B – $44Bmaintained3.7% – 4.9% vs FY2025
This includes full-year sales between $43.5 billion and $44 billion.
NOC · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTC$43.5B – $44Bmaintained3.7% – 4.9% vs FY2025
| Sales | $43,500 — $44,000 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTC$43.5B – $44Bmaintained3.7% – 4.9% vs FY2025
For 2026, we expect sales to be between $43.5 billion-$44 billion, representing mid-single-digit growth at the company.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTC$43.5B – $44Bnew
| Sales | $43,500 — $44,000 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2031+ · ends 2031-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTCdouble international salesnew
These demand signals give us confidence in our goal to double international sales by 2031.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTC5% – 7%new5% – 7% vs FY2026
For 2027, we project sales growth between 5% and 7%, representing further acceleration from the growth expected this year, with higher sales in all four segments.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2028 · ends 2028-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 10d
2026-10-20 15:02:14 UTChigher in 2028 than we experienced in 2027new
We are suggesting that a 5%-7% growth rate next year would accelerate, meaning be higher in 2028 than we experienced in 2027.
NOC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 15:01:00 UTCOpen source
NOCNORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics2 raised2 maintained
earnings release · 10d
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTC$29.35 – $29.75raised +2.4%
| MTM-adjusted EPS1 | $29.35 — $29.75 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTC$28.6 – $29.1maintained
We are increasing our mark-to-market adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $28.60-$29.10, an increase of $1.20.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC$28.6 – $29.1raised +4.3%
| MTM-adjusted EPS1 | $28.60 — $29.10 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTC$27.4 – $27.9maintained
| MTM-adjusted EPS1 | $27.40 — $27.90 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTC$27.4 – $27.9maintained
2026 mark-to-market adjusted earnings per share are expected between $27.40-$27.90, up mid-single digits.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTC$27.4 – $27.9new
| MTM-adjusted EPS1 | $27.40 — $27.90 |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTC10%maintained
| Defense Systems | Mid to High $8 | ~10% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-22 04:01:28 UTC10%maintained
For DS, we are maintaining our outlook for sales in the mid-to-high $8 billion range and margins of approximately 10%.
NOC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-22 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC10%maintained
| Defense Systems | Mid to High $8 | ~10% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTC10%maintained
| Defense Systems | Mid to High $8 | ~10% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTC10%maintained
Operating margins are expected to remain steady at around 10%, comparable to the performance in 2025, absent the $76 million favorable EAC adjustment on Sentinel.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTC10%new
| Defense Systems | Mid to High $8 | ~10% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTCMid 13%maintained
| Intersegment Eliminations | ~($2.7) | Mid 13% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC13%lowered -3.7%
| Intersegment Eliminations | ~($2.7) | Mid 13% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTCHigh 13%lowered -1.5%
| Intersegment Eliminations | ~($2.4) | High 13% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTChigh 13%
Lastly, intersegment eliminations are projected to be approximately $2.4 billion, with a high 13% OM rate.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTCHigh 13%new
| Intersegment Eliminations | ~($2.4) | High 13% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source
2026-10-20 10:04:47 UTCLow 10%raised +15.0%
| Space Systems | ~$11 | Low 10% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-20 10:00:28 UTCOpen source
2026-07-21 10:46:59 UTC10%lowered -9.1%
| Space Systems | ~$11 | Low 10% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-21 10:45:45 UTCOpen source
2026-04-21 10:45:56 UTC11%maintained
| Space Systems | ~$11 | ~11% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-21 10:44:56 UTCOpen source
2026-01-28 05:01:46 UTC11%maintained
Operating income is forecasted to be in the 11% range, consistent with the prior year.
NOC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-28 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-01-27 11:45:55 UTC11%new
| Space Systems | ~$11 | ~11% |
NOC · EX-99 · Q4 FY2025
2026-01-27 11:44:58 UTCOpen source