Merck (MRK) official guidance

Merck (MRK) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.

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MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
7 metrics1 raised6 maintained
earnings call · 2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC$5.8Braised +1.8%
This range includes $5.8 billion for the upfront charge for Terns and investment to advance MK-4208.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC$5.7Bnew
**Includes one-time R&D charges of $9.0 billion** for the acquisition of Cidara Therapeutics, Inc. (Cidara) and $5.7 billion for the acquisition of Terns.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC2.5Bmaintained-1.1% vs FY2025
We assume approximately 2.48 billion shares outstanding.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC2.5Bmaintained-1.1% vs FY2025
| Share count (assuming dilution) | Approximately 2.48 billion | Approximately 2.48 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC2.5Bmaintained-1.1% vs FY2025
We assume approximately 2.48 billion shares outstanding.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC2.5Bmaintained-1.1% vs FY2025
| Share count (assuming dilution) | Approximately 2.48 billion | Approximately 2.48 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC2.5Bmaintained
We assume approximately 2.48 billion shares outstanding.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC2.5Bnew
| Share count (assuming dilution) | Approximately 2.48 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC35% – 36%maintained
We now expect a full-year tax rate between 35% and 36%, which reflects the non-tax-deductible one-time charge for Terns.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC35% – 36%raised +47.9%
The Company now expects the full-year non-GAAP effective income tax rate to be between 35.0% and 36.0%, including the impact of the non-tax deductible one-time charges for the acquisitions of Cidara and Terns.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC23.5% – 24.5%maintained
We assume a full year tax rate between 23.5% and 24.5%, which reflects the non-tax deductible one-time charge for Sedera.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC23.5% – 24.5%maintained
The Company continues to expect the full-year non-GAAP effective income tax rate to be between 23.5% and 24.5% including the impact of the non-tax-deductible one-time charge for the acquisition of Cidara.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC23.5% – 24.5%maintained
We assume a full-year tax rate between 23.5% and 24.5%, which reflects the non-tax-deductible one-time charge for Cidara.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC23.5% – 24.5%new
| Non-GAAP Effective tax rate2 | 23.5% to 24.5% |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC$2.66 – $2.76maintained
Taken together, we expect EPS of $2.66-$2.76, with a midpoint of $2.71, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately $0.15 using mid-July rates.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC$2.66 – $2.76lowered -46.9%
The Company now expects full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS to be between $2.66 and $2.76, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately $0.15 per share at mid-July 2026 exchange rates.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC$5.04 – $5.16maintained
Taken together, we expect EPS of $5.04-$5.16, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately $0.10 using mid-April rates.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC$5.04 – $5.16raised +0.5%
The Company now expects full-year 2026 non-GAAP EPS to be between $5.04 and $5.16, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately $0.10 per share at mid-April 2026 exchange rates.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC$5 – $5.15maintained
Taken together, we expect EPS of $5-$5.15, with a midpoint of $5.08, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately $0.10 using mid-January rates.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC$5 – $5.15new
| Non-GAAP EPS2\*\*\* | $5.00 to $5.15 |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC81%maintained
Gross margin is now assumed to be approximately 81%, reflecting higher inventory reserves.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC81%lowered -1.2%
| Non-GAAP Gross margin3 | Approximately 81% | Approximately 82% |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC82%maintained
Our growth margin assumption remains approximately 82%.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC82%maintained
| Non-GAAP Gross margin3 | Approximately 82% | Approximately 82% |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC82%maintained
Our gross margin assumption is approximately 82%.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC82%new
| Non-GAAP Gross margin2 | Approximately 82% |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC$42B – $42.7Bmaintained
Operating expenses are expected to be between $42 billion and $42.7 billion. This range includes $5.8 billion for the upfront charge for Terns and investment to advance MK-4208.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC$42B – $42.7Braised +16.3%
| Non-GAAP Operating expenses3** | $42.0 billion to $42.7 billion | $36.0 billion to $36.8 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC$36B – $36.8Bmaintained
Operating expenses are assumed to be between $36 billion-$36.8 billion.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC$36B – $36.8Bmaintained
| Non-GAAP Operating expenses3** | $36.0 billion to $36.8 billion | $35.9 billion to $36.9 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC$35.9B – $36.9Bmaintained
Operating expenses are assumed to be between $35.9 billion and $36.9 billion, which includes a one-time charge of approximately $9 billion related to the acquisition of Cidara.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC$35.9B – $36.9Bnew
| Non-GAAP Operating expenses2\*\* | $35.9 billion to $36.9 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC-$1.4Bmaintained
Other expense, which now includes the financing costs for Terns, is expected to be approximately $1.4 billion.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC-$1.4Blowered -7.7%
| Non-GAAP Other (income) expense, net3 | Approximately $1.4 billion expense | Approximately $1.3 billion expense |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC-$1.3Bmaintained
Other expense is expected to be approximately $1.3 billion.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC-$1.3Bmaintained
| Non-GAAP Other (income) expense, net3 | Approximately $1.3 billion expense | Approximately $1.3 billion expense |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC-$1.3Bmaintained
Other expense of approximately $1.3 billion includes financing costs for Cidara and Verona.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC-$1.3Bnew
| Non-GAAP Other (income) expense, net2 | Approximately $1.3 billion expense |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.H4 FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTCsignificantly higher than the second half of 2025new
Finally, other revenue in the second half of 2026 is expected to be significantly higher than the second half of 2025.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics1 lowered1 new2 maintained
earnings call · 2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC$66.3B – $67.3Bmaintained2.1% – 3.7% vs FY2025
We have raised and narrowed our full-year revenue guidance range to be between $66.3 billion and $67.3 billion, representing growth of 2%-4%, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately one percentage point using mid-July rates.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC$66.3B – $67.3Braised +0.6%2.1% – 3.7% vs FY2025
The Company is raising and narrowing the range for its full-year sales outlook and now anticipates full-year 2026 sales to be between $66.3 billion and $67.3 billion, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately 1% at mid-July 2026 exchange rates.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC$65.8B – $67Bmaintained1.3% – 3.2% vs FY2025
We now expect revenue to be between $65.8 billion-$67 billion, representing growth of 1%-3%, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately 1 percentage point using mid-April rates.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC$65.8B – $67Braised +0.2%1.3% – 3.2% vs FY2025
The Company now anticipates full-year 2026 sales to be between $65.8 billion and $67.0 billion, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately 1% at mid-April 2026 exchange rates.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC$65.5B – $67Bmaintained
We expect revenue to be between $65.5 billion and $67 billion, representing growth of 1%-3%, including a positive impact from foreign exchange of approximately one percentage point using mid-January rates.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC$65.5B – $67Bnew
| Sales\* | $65.5 billion to $67.0 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
2026-08-05 04:01:15 UTC$3Bmaintained-41% vs FY2025
We are on pace for approximately $3 billion in share repurchases this year, as previously communicated.
MRK · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC$3Bmaintained-41% vs FY2025
We are on pace for approximately $3 billion of share repurchases this year, as previously communicated.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC$3Bnew
Our guidance assumes approximately $3 billion of share repurchases, and we remain committed to not having excess cash build on the balance sheet.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-08-04 10:48:54 UTC$9Bnew
**Includes one-time R&D charges of $9.0 billion** for the acquisition of Cidara Therapeutics, Inc. (Cidara) and $5.7 billion for the acquisition of Terns.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-04 10:47:58 UTCOpen source
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC$5.8Blowered -35.6%
We expect the transaction will result in a one-time charge that will increase research and development expense by approximately $5.8 billion or approximately $2.35 per share.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC$9Bmaintained
Operating expenses are assumed to be between $35.9 billion and $36.9 billion, which includes a one-time charge of approximately $9 billion related to the acquisition of Cidara.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-03 11:39:39 UTC$9Bnew
This range includes a one-time charge of approximately $9.0 billion, or approximately $3.65 per share, as well as approximately $0.30 per share of related financing and operational costs, related to the acquisition of Cidara.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-03 11:38:40 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.Q2 FY2026 · ends 2026-06-30
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTC
2026-05-01 04:01:10 UTCminimal salesnew
For Inflanzia, consistent with the Q1, we expect minimal sales in the Q2 given the seasonal nature of the product and continued high levels of RSV monoclonal antibody inventory in the market.
MRK · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-01 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2026
1 metric1 new
earnings release · 2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC
2026-04-30 10:54:27 UTC$5.8Bnew
In April 2026, the Company announced a tender offer to acquire Terns. The Company’s financial outlook does not reflect this transaction, which is expected to be accounted for as an asset acquisition and result in a one-time charge of approximately $5.8 billion, or approximately $2.35 per share.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-30 10:53:18 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2028+ · ends 2028-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC
2026-02-04 05:01:05 UTC30% – 40%new
As we think about the QLEX adoption, we continue to think we're gonna see 30%-40% adopted as you get out to 2028, and we will drive that as high as we can.
MRK · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-04 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
5 metrics5 maintained
earnings call · 2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC2.5Bmaintained-1.2% vs FY2024
We assume approximately $2.51 billion shares outstanding.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 10:41:28 UTC2.5Bnew-1.2% vs FY2024
| Share count (assuming dilution) | Approximately 2.51 billion | Approximately 2.51 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 10:40:38 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC14% – 15%maintained
We now assume a full-year tax rate between 14% and 15%.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 10:41:28 UTC14% – 15%new
| Non-GAAP Effective tax rate2 | 14.0% to 15.0% | 15.0% to 16.0% |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 10:40:38 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC$8.93 – $8.98maintained
Taken together, our EPS guidance is $8.93 to $8.98.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 10:41:28 UTC$8.93 – $8.98new
The Company now expects its full-year non-GAAP EPS to be between $8.93 and $8.98, including a negative impact of foreign exchange of approximately $0.15 per share.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 10:40:38 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC82%maintained
Our gross margin assumption remains approximately 82%, including an updated estimate of less than $100 million in costs related to the impact of tariffs.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 10:41:28 UTC82%new
| Non-GAAP Gross margin2 | Approximately 82% | Approximately 82% |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 10:40:38 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC$25.9B – $26.4Bmaintained
Operating expenses are now assumed to be between $25.9-$26.4 billion.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 10:41:28 UTC$25.9B – $26.4Bnew
| Non-GAAP Operating expenses2(a) | $25.9 billion to $26.4 billion | $25.6 billion to $26.4 billion |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 10:40:38 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTCan acceleration in underlying operating expense growthnew
And as we look to 2026, we expect an acceleration in underlying operating expense growth, driven by investment in both R&D and SG&A to fuel our pipeline and new launches, including more than $500 million of investment to maximize the potential of Ohtuvayre.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
2 metrics2 maintained
earnings call · 2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC-$500M – -$400Mmaintained
Other expense is now expected to be between $400 and $500 million.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 10:41:28 UTC-$500M – -$400Mnew
| Non-GAAP Other (income) expenses, net2 | $400 million to $500 million expense | $300 million to $400 million expense |
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 10:40:38 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC$64.5B – $65Bmaintained0.5% – 1.3% vs FY2024
We expect full-year revenue to be between $64.5-$65 billion.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 10:41:28 UTC$64.5B – $65Bnew0.5% – 1.3% vs FY2024
The Company now expects full-year 2025 sales to be between $64.5 billion and $65.0 billion, including a negative impact of foreign exchange of approximately 0.5% at mid-October 2025 exchange rates.
MRK · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 10:40:38 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics4 new
earnings call · 2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTCmodest growth for Gardasil in the near termnew
Overall, we expect modest growth for Gardasil in the near term.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTCcontinued growth in Keytruda, albeit at a slightly slower pace than we've seennew
And we do expect continued growth in Keytruda, albeit at a slightly slower pace than we've seen, as we are getting to peak penetration in some of the indications, and we do expect some headwind from price in our ex-U.S. markets.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTCrevenue growth from Winrevairnew
We're expecting continued patient impact and revenue growth from Winrevair.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTCsolid top-line growthnew
So as we go into 2026, we are expecting solid top-line growth for our company.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.FY2025 · ends 2025-12-31
1 metric1 new
earnings call · 2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC
2025-10-31 04:01:17 UTC$5Bnew282.8% vs FY2024
We are maintaining our increased pace of share repurchases and expect approximately $5 billion for the full year.
MRK · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-31 04:00:00 UTCOpen source