McDonald's (MCD) official guidance
McDonald's (MCD) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.
See the full Filings Intelligence suiteMCDMCDONALDS CORPFY2026
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-08-05 04:01:08 UTC
2026-08-05 04:01:08 UTCincremental company-owned restaurant divestituresnew
As part of this ongoing work across both the U.S. and international markets, we expect incremental company-owned restaurant divestitures, some of which occurred in the second quarter, to continue in 2026 and beyond.
MCD · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-08-05 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
3 metrics2 new1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC$0.2 – $0.3maintained
Based on current exchange rates, we expect foreign currency to be a full-year tailwind to 2026 EPS, totaling in the range of $0.20-$0.30.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC$0.2 – $0.3new
We expect foreign currency to be a full year tailwind to 2026 EPS, totaling in the range of $0.20-$0.30 based on current exchange rates.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCmid-single digitsnew
part of the assumptions that went into the guidance that we issued at the beginning of the year was obviously commodity inflation from a food and paper perspective, which in the U.S., we expect to be in the low to mid-single digit range and in IOM mid-single digits.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCin the low to mid-single digit rangenew
part of the assumptions that went into the guidance that we issued at the beginning of the year was obviously commodity inflation from a food and paper perspective, which in the U.S., we expect to be in the low to mid-single digit range and in IOM mid-single digits.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPQ2 FY2026 · ends 2026-06-30
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCgaining sharenew
If you look at May and June, our expectation is that we should in our major markets be gaining share.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPFY2027+ · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC50Kmaintained
I think overall, we still feel confident in our ability to kinda get to about 50,000 restaurants by the end of 2027.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC50Kmaintained
Our pace of new store openings will accelerate further as we target approximately 2,600 gross restaurant openings in 2026, which keeps us on track to achieve 50,000 restaurants by the end of 2027.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-11-06 05:01:12 UTC50Knew
We're on track to deliver our current-year targets and our 50,000 restaurants globally by the end of 2027.
MCD · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-11-06 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 maintainedearnings call · 2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC1Kmaintained
We remain on track to open approximately 1,000 new restaurants in China this year.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC1Knew
We expect to open more than 1,800 restaurants in our IDL segment, including about 1,000 in China.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPQ2 FY2026 · ends 2026-06-30
5 metrics5 newearnings call · 2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTC
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCdecelerate from the 3.4% in Q1new
For IDL, comp sales growth in Q2, we expect to decelerate from the 3.4% in Q1, primarily reflecting a little bit what Chris was talking about earlier, just the volatility, obviously, of conditions in the Middle East and some markets in Asia, but also to accelerate slightly on a two-year basis.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCmeaningful decelerationnew
We expect in Q2 that we're going to see a meaningful deceleration from the 3.9% that we put up in both segments in Q1 from a comp perspective, which reflects the soft performance in April.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCmeaningful decelerationnew
We expect in Q2 that we're going to see a meaningful deceleration from the 3.9% that we put up in both segments in Q1 from a comp perspective, which reflects the soft performance in April.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCaccelerate slightly on a two-year basisnew
For IDL, comp sales growth in Q2, we expect to decelerate from the 3.4% in Q1, primarily reflecting a little bit what Chris was talking about earlier, just the volatility, obviously, of conditions in the Middle East and some markets in Asia, but also to accelerate slightly on a two-year basis.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-05-08 04:01:23 UTCaccelerate on a two-year stack basisnew
We also expect for each segment, comp sales to accelerate on a two-year stack basis.
MCD · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-05-08 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics4 newearnings call · 2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC$3.7B – $3.9Bnew
We expect our capital expenditure spend to be between $3.7 billion-$3.9 billion this year, with the majority invested in new unit openings across our US and IOM segments.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC21% – 23%new
Below the operating line, we expect interest expense to increase between 4%-6% from the prior year, primarily due to higher average interest rates, and expect our full year effective tax rate to be between 21% and 23%, with some volatility quarter to quarter that may cause the quarterly rate to be outside the annual range.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC2.2%new
We're targeting G&A as a percentage of system-wide sales for the full year to be about 2.2%, reflecting our ongoing investments in our strategic growth drivers, like technology and digital, and global business services or GBS.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC4% – 6%new4% – 6% vs FY2025
Below the operating line, we expect interest expense to increase between 4%-6% from the prior year, primarily due to higher average interest rates, and expect our full year effective tax rate to be between 21% and 23%, with some volatility quarter to quarter that may cause the quarterly rate to be outside the annual range.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPFY2027+ · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC250Mnew
In 2025, we almost doubled those sales, with nearly 210 million ninety-day active users across 70 markets, and we're on track to reach our target of 250 million ninety-day active users by the end of 2027.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
MCDMCDONALDS CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
3 metrics3 newearnings call · 2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTC
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTCat least 1%new
We grew our chicken category share across our top 10 markets in 2025 and believe we're well on our way to increasing our share by at least 1 percentage point by the end of 2026 versus where we were in December 2023.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTClow- to mid-80% rangenew
Lastly, we're targeting our net income to free cash flow conversion rate in 2026 to be in the low- to mid-80% range, which is in line with the 84% in 2025.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-12 05:01:25 UTCmid- to high-40% rangenew
We expect our operating margin to be in the mid- to high-40% range and to expand from our 46.9% adjusted operating margin in 2025.
MCD · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-12 05:00:00 UTCOpen source