Centene (CNC) official guidance
Centene (CNC) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.
See the full Filings Intelligence suiteCNCCENTENE CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metricearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCat least $5.2
We now expect 2026 adjusted diluted earnings per share of greater than $5.20.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:09:42 UTCat least $5.2
| Adjusted diluted EPS (1) | | > $5.20 | | | | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-26 23:05:38 UTCOpen source
2026-09-15 22:55:15 UTCat least $4.8
During the conference, and in subsequent discussions with investors continuing through the week of September 21, members of management will discuss the Company's business and financial results, including reaffirming its full year 2026 GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) guidance of greater than $3.11 and its full year adjusted diluted EPS guidance of greater than $4.80.
CNC · 8-K
2026-09-15 22:54:55 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTCat least $4.8
Thanks to strong first-half results, we now expect full year 2026 adjusted diluted earnings per share of greater than $4.80, up from our prior outlook of greater than $3.40 provided during our April update.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-27 23:39:06 UTCat least $4.8
The Company is updating its 2026 GAAP diluted EPS guidance floor to greater than $3.11 and its 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance floor to greater than $4.80.
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-27 23:38:01 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:24 UTCat least $3.4
The strength of our first quarter performance enables us to increase our full year 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to greater than $3.40, up from our previous expectation of greater than $3.00.
CNC · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 00:09:07 UTCat least $3.4
| Adjusted diluted EPS (1) | | > $3.40 | | | | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 00:08:15 UTCOpen source
2026-03-09 22:20:56 UTCat least $3
During the presentation, the Company expects to reaffirm its previously issued 2026 full year GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) guidance of greater than $1.98 and its full year adjusted diluted EPS guidance of greater than $3.00.
CNC · 8-K
2026-03-09 22:20:33 UTCOpen source
2026-02-21 02:32:48 UTCat least $3
Consistent with the Company's guidance previously provided on February 6, 2026, the senior management team plans to reaffirm the Company's 2026 full year GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) guidance of greater than $1.98 and its full year adjusted diluted EPS guidance of greater than $3.00.
CNC · 8-K
2026-02-21 02:32:27 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:40 UTCat least $3
We expect full year 2026 adjusted EPS to be greater than $3, representing more than 40% year-over-year growth and marking important progress toward restoring the enterprise's embedded earnings power.
CNC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 01:53:23 UTCat least $3new
| Adjusted diluted EPS (1) | | > $3.00 | | | | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 01:52:22 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCgrow adjusted EPSnew
As we sit here today with still a quarter of 2026 to deliver and other open items, such as open enrollment in three of our lines of business and partial visibility on 2027 Medicaid rates, we expect to grow adjusted EPS relative to not only the $4.70 jump off, but also relative to our revised $5.20 2026 adjusted EPS guidance.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
4 metrics4 maintainedearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC93.5%maintained
We reported a Medicaid HBR of 93.6, improving sequentially by 30 basis points from Q2 and keeping pace with our trajectory to achieve a full-year Medicaid HBR of 93.5.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC93.5%new
In Medicaid, at a 93.9% HBR, we are right on track with our prior forecast and are still expecting a full year HBR around 93.5%.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC$610Mmaintained
And three, lower interest expense to a midpoint of $610 million.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:09:42 UTC$600M – $620Mnew
Additionally, the Company is decreasing its HBR guidance range to 90.4% to 91.1% and its interest expense guidance range to $600 million to $620 million.
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-26 23:05:38 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC$1.5Bmaintained
We are also holding the guidance of approximately $1.5 billion of investment and other income for 2026.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-27 23:39:06 UTC$1.5Bnew
The Company is also increasing its investment and other income expectation by $50 million to $1.50 billion.
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-27 23:38:01 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC-9% – -8%maintained-9% – -8% vs FY2025
We continue to expect an incremental step down in Q4, in line with our previous view that year-end 2026 membership would reflect attrition of roughly 8%-9% compared to year-end 2025.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC-9% – -8%new
To be more specific, we expect full-year Medicaid membership to be down 8%-9% compared to 12/31/2025 versus our prior view of being down 6%.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
2 metrics2 newearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCmembership to be down year-over-year in 2027new
We expect Medicare Advantage membership to be down year-over-year in 2027 as we construct a footprint that will allow us to advance margin expansion in 2027 and beyond while delivering high-quality service and benefits to our members.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCPDP membership growthnew
For selected tailwinds relative to the $4.70 2026 jump-off point, we are currently forecasting continued progress matching Medicaid rates with acuity, though partially offset by OB3 headwinds, such that we still expect slight improvement in the Medicaid HBR. Improved Marketplace pre-tax margin. Medicare Advantage moving from breakeven in 2026 to better than breakeven in 2027. PDP membership growth and an increase in premium yield, given the increase in the direct subsidy, and an improved SG&A rate on a consolidated basis.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metric1 raisedearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC5%raised +5.3%
The strength of the underlying business allowed us to absorb the impact of these adjustments, and we now expect Marketplace will produce a full-year pre-tax margin at the top of our previous range of 4.5%-5%.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC4.5% – 5%raised +58.3%
In light of the aggregate first half results, we now expect to deliver a pre-tax margin between 4.5% and 5% for the Marketplace business for the full year, an improvement compared to our previous guidance as well as our initial guidance issued in February.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-04-29 04:01:24 UTC3%lowered -25.0%
We thought it would be prudent to embed in our current guidance a pre-tax margin for Marketplace around 3% for now, compared to our original forecast of approximately 4%.
CNC · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:40 UTC4%new
The commercial segment, which is largely marketplace, we were at -1% last year. You could do the math on the HBR guidance slide and get to something around 4% pre-tax for 2026 in marketplace.
CNC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCdriving additional margin expansionnew
We are pleased with where Ambetter's pricing strategy has positioned our products for the 2027 shopping season and remain focused on driving additional margin expansion for Marketplace in 2027.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metricearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCbreak-even financial results
As a result of strong execution against our turnaround plan, we are now on track to achieve break-even financial results in 2026, a year ahead of expectations.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTCgetting closer to break even
Medicare Advantage, representing a little over 40% of segment revenue, continued to perform well, getting closer to break even for full year 2026 performance.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:40 UTCstill operating at a slight lossnew
But there are things that aren't incorporated in the accounting of the PDR such that it's still operating at a slight loss on a fully allocated basis for 2026.
CNC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metricearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCbetter than breakeven
Medicare Advantage moving from breakeven in 2026 to better than breakeven in 2027.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTCbreak even or better results
We are confident in our plan to deliver break even or better results in 2027 and margin improvement thereafter.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:40 UTCbreak-even Medicare Advantage results in 2027
Overall, we continue to look for opportunities to position the business for improved profitability in 2026 on the way to our goal of break-even Medicare Advantage results in 2027, an important enterprise milestone.
CNC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 04:01:23 UTCbreak-even pre-tax marginnew
These results demonstrate a true Centene team effort, with the initiatives being planned and executed at every level of the organization and provide us with increased confidence in our ability to achieve break-even pre-tax margin in 2027.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
1 metricearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTCpre-tax margins in the mid to high 3s
Reflecting year-to-date results, we now expect PDP to generate pre-tax margins in the mid to high 3s, a step up from the greater than 3% outlook we shared in July.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTCat least 3%
As a result, we now expect PDP to deliver a pre-tax margin greater than 3% in 2026 versus the 2% we guided to at the beginning of the year.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:40 UTC2%new
One, we are initially assuming a 2026 pre-tax margin around 2%, down from a good year in the 3s.
CNC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2027 · ends 2027-12-31
1 metric1 newearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC2% – 3%new
So, we still need to get data from open enrollment, but probably somewhere in that 2%-3% range would be the opening expectation for PDP for the year, and then we would work our tails off to outperform that during the year.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
CNCCENTENE CORPFY2026 · ends 2026-12-31
6 metrics1 raised5 maintainedearnings call · 3d
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC5%maintained
Rate updates since July have been consistent with expectations, and our view of the full year 2026 composite rate remains steady at roughly 5%.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 04:01:35 UTC5%new
Overall, we now expect the full year 2026 rate impact to be approximately 5%, up from 4.5%, with no change in our view of fundamental trend of mid-four for the year.
CNC · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-29 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 14:02:21 UTC7.2%maintained
With anticipated Q4 seasonality and spending, we are holding at a full year midpoint of 7.2% for 2026.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-27 14:01:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:09:42 UTC6.9% – 7.5%lowered -2.7%
| Adjusted SG&A expense ratio (2) | | 6.9 | | % | 7.5 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-26 23:05:38 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 01:53:23 UTC7.1% – 7.7%new
| Adjusted SG&A expense ratio (2) | | 7.1 | | % | 7.7 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 01:52:22 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:09:42 UTC$1Mraised +33.3%
(2) | Adjusted SG&A expense ratio excludes severance costs due to enterprise optimization and contract exits of approximately $355 million to $405 million, enterprise optimization third-party vendor costs of approximately $85 million to $115 million and acquisition and divestiture related expenses of approximately $1 million.
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-26 23:05:38 UTCOpen source
2026-07-27 23:39:06 UTC$750Knew
| (2) | Adjusted SG&A expense ratio excludes severance costs due to enterprise optimization and contract exits of approximately $355 million to $405 million, enterprise optimization third-party vendor costs of approximately $85 million to $115 million and acquisition and divestiture related expenses of approximately $750 thousand. | | | | | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-27 23:38:01 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:09:42 UTC497M – 500Mmaintained1.2% – 1.8% vs FY2025
| Diluted shares outstanding (in millions) | | 497.0 | | | 500.0 | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-26 23:05:38 UTCOpen source
2026-07-27 23:39:06 UTC497M – 500Mraised +0.3%1.2% – 1.8% vs FY2025
| Diluted shares outstanding (in millions) | | 497.0 | | | 500.0 | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-27 23:38:01 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 00:09:07 UTC495.6M – 498.6Mmaintained0.9% – 1.5% vs FY2025
| Diluted shares outstanding (in millions) | | 495.6 | | | 498.6 | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 00:08:15 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 01:53:23 UTC495.6M – 498.6Mnew
| Diluted shares outstanding (in millions) | | 495.6 | | | 498.6 | | |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 01:52:22 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:09:42 UTC25.5% – 26.5%maintained
| Adjusted effective tax rate (3) | | 25.5 | | % | 26.5 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-26 23:05:38 UTCOpen source
2026-07-27 23:39:06 UTC25.5% – 26.5%lowered -1.9%
| Adjusted effective tax rate (3) | | 25.5 | | % | 26.5 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-27 23:38:01 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 00:09:07 UTC26% – 27%maintained
| Adjusted effective tax rate (3) | | 26.0 | | % | 27.0 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 00:08:15 UTCOpen source
2026-02-07 05:01:40 UTC26% – 27%maintained
You can see the other guidance elements, including stability in the SG&A rate, continued paydown of debt and associated impact on interest expense, reduced investment income from assumed Fed fund rate cuts, and adjusted tax rate of 26%-27%, slightly higher than a normal statutory rate given the mix and level of earnings forecasted for 2026.
CNC · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-07 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 01:53:23 UTC26% – 27%new
| Adjusted effective tax rate (3) | | 26.0 | | % | 27.0 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 01:52:22 UTCOpen source
2026-10-27 10:09:42 UTC26.5% – 27.5%maintained2574 bps – 2674 bps vs FY2025
| Effective tax rate | | 26.5 | | % | 27.5 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-10-26 23:05:38 UTCOpen source
2026-07-27 23:39:06 UTC26.5% – 27.5%lowered -1.8%2574 bps – 2674 bps vs FY2025
| Effective tax rate | | 26.5 | | % | 27.5 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-07-27 23:38:01 UTCOpen source
2026-04-28 00:09:07 UTC27% – 28%maintained2624 bps – 2724 bps vs FY2025
| Effective tax rate | | 27.0 | | % | 28.0 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q1 FY2026
2026-04-28 00:08:15 UTCOpen source
2026-02-06 01:53:23 UTC27% – 28%
| Effective tax rate | | 27.0 | | % | 28.0 | | % |
CNC · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2026-02-06 01:52:22 UTCOpen source
2025-10-30 04:01:23 UTCour tax rate increasesnew
Additionally, you should assume that a lower tax rate environment makes net investment income a headwind and that our tax rate increases.
CNC · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-10-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source