Carnival (CCL) official guidance
Carnival (CCL) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.
See the full Filings Intelligence suiteCCLCarnival Corp Ltd.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
2 metrics1 raised1 newearnings call · 30d
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC2.2%raised +15.8%2.2% vs Q4 FY2025
Cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD are now expected to be up approximately 2.2% year-over-year, better than June guidance, which includes the $0.02 per share cost savings I previously mentioned for the third quarter.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC1.9%new1.9% vs Q4 FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 1.9% | Approx. 1.7% | Approx. 3.5% | Approx. 2.2% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC1.1%new1.1% vs Q4 FY2025
On a normalized basis, adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD are up approximately 1.1% after reflecting the timing of certain expenses between the years, partial year operating expenses from two exclusive destinations, and the impact of certain elevated logistics costs as a result of the disruption from the Middle East conflict.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.FY2027 · ends 2027-11-30
1 metric1 newearnings call · 30d
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC0.5%new0.5% vs FY2026
We are forecasting a capacity increase of 0.5% in 2027 compared to 2026.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
1 metric1 loweredearnings call · 30d
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC$2.4Blowered -4.0%
But we have said this before, our non-new build CapEx for 2026 is $2.4 billion.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2025-12-19 14:18:55 UTC$2.5Bnew
For full year 2026, newbuild capital expenditures are $0.6 billion and non-newbuild capital expenditures are $2.5 billion.
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-19 14:17:01 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.FY2027 · ends 2027-11-30
3 metrics3 newearnings call · 30d
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC34%new
As a result, in 2027, Europe will, for the first time, tie with the Caribbean as our largest deployment region, each representing 34% of our mix.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC34%new
As a result, in 2027, Europe will, for the first time, tie with the Caribbean as our largest deployment region, each representing 34% of our mix.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC35%new
In fact, next year, 35% of Carnival Cruise Line's Caribbean capacity will feature itineraries visiting both of these incredible destinations on the same cruise.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
3 metrics1 lowered1 maintainedearnings call · 30d
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTCat least $7B
Our expected EBITDA of more than $7 billion provides the capacity to invest in the business, improve leverage, and return capital to shareholders.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC$7.1Braised +0.4%
| Adjusted EBITDA (in billions) | Approx. $1.30 | | | Approx. $7.14 | | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-06-23 13:18:00 UTC$7.1Blowered -6.4%
| Adjusted EBITDA (in billions) | Approx. $2.88 | | | Approx. $7.11 | | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-23 13:16:37 UTCOpen source
2025-12-20 05:01:03 UTC$7.6Blowered -0.4%
In summary, putting all these factors together, our net income guidance for full year 2026 is over $3.45 billion, an improvement of more than 12% versus 2025 or $0.23 per share. In addition, this will result in $7.6 billion of EBITDA, as we mentioned on the last earnings call, for the longer term, we're targeting a net debt to EBITDA ratio under three times.
CCL · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-20 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-12-19 14:18:55 UTC$7.6Bnew
| Adjusted EBITDA (in billions) | Approx. $1.24 | | Approx. $7.63 | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-19 14:17:01 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC$2.24maintained
As a result, full-year EPS guidance is now $2.24, up $0.02 from our previous guidance.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC$2.24raised +0.9%
| Adjusted earnings per share - diluted | Approx. $0.20 | | | Approx. $2.24 | | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-06-24 04:01:13 UTC$2.22maintained
Our full-year guidance calls for earnings per share of $2.22, which is $0.01 above our previous guidance as we recognize the EPS accretion from our second quarter share repurchases.
CCL · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-06-23 13:18:00 UTC$2.22raised +0.5%
| Adjusted earnings per share - diluted | Approx. $1.35 | | | Approx. $2.22 | | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-23 13:16:37 UTCOpen source
2026-03-28 04:01:34 UTC$2.21lowered -10.9%
Our full year guidance calls for earnings per share of $2.21.
CCL · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-03-28 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-12-19 14:18:55 UTC$2.48new
| Adjusted earnings per share - diluted | Approx. $0.17 | | Approx. $2.48 | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-19 14:17:01 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC2.3%lowered -39.5%2.3% vs FY2025
Our September guidance forecasts yield growth of approximately 2.3%, which is over half a point better than June guidance.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC3.8%raised +68.9%3.8% vs FY2025
| Net yields | Approx. 2.3% | Approx. 1.7% | Approx. 3.8% | Approx. 2.3% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-06-24 04:01:13 UTC2.3%lowered -29.7%2.3% vs FY2025
Our June guidance assumes normalized yield growth of approximately 2.25%.
CCL · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-06-23 13:18:00 UTC3.2%raised +16.4%3.2% vs FY2025
| Net yields | Approx. 1.3% | Approx. 1.2% | Approx. 3.2% | Approx. 1.75% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-23 13:16:37 UTCOpen source
2026-03-28 04:01:34 UTC2.8%raised +10.0%2.8% vs FY2025
Our March guidance assumes yield growth of approximately 2.75%, which is 25 basis points better than our December guidance and fully reflects the first quarter yield improvement.
CCL · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-03-28 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-12-20 05:01:03 UTC2.5%lowered -32.4%2.5% vs FY2025
On top of the 17% yield growth over the last two years, we are expecting to deliver further yield improvement in 2026 with our guidance forecasting an increase of approximately 2.5%, which is really 3% when normalized for the Carnival Cruise Line loyalty program accounting and the last-minute changes we made to our Arabian Gulf deployment and certain dry dock schedules.
CCL · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-20 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-12-19 14:18:55 UTC3.7%3.7% vs FY2025
| Net yields | Approx. 5.1% | Approx. 1.6% | Approx. 3.7% | Approx. 2.5% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-19 14:17:01 UTCOpen source
2025-09-30 04:01:18 UTCabout half a point impact on yields year over yearnew
As a reminder, while the program will be cash flow positive from day one, it does impact our yields in 2026. The year over year impact is expected to be about half a point.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2025
2025-09-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
2 metrics1 new1 maintainedearnings call · 30d
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC1.7%maintained1.7% vs Q4 FY2025
For the fourth quarter, we now expect year-over-year growth of approximately 1.7% over three-fourths of a point above our implied June guidance.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC1.7%new1.7% vs Q4 FY2025
| Net yields | Approx. 2.3% | Approx. 1.7% | Approx. 3.8% | Approx. 2.3% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC2.3%new2.3% vs Q4 FY2025
On a normalized basis, adjusting for the impact of the new loyalty program accounting for Carnival Cruise Line, our fourth quarter yields are expected to be up approximately 2.3%, consistent with the year-over-year growth we saw in the third quarter.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.FY2027 · ends 2027-11-30
3 metrics2 new1 maintainedearnings call · 30d
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTCat record levelsnew
As Josh indicated, we are in a strong position for 2027 with both occupancy and price at record levels.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTCat record levelsnew
As Josh indicated, we are in a strong position for 2027 with both occupancy and price at record levels.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 20:45:55 UTC3.5Mmaintained
With the second pier now open, Celebration Key is expected to welcome approximately 3.5 million guests next year, with 31 ships calling versus 26 this year.
CCL · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 20:44:22 UTCOpen source
2026-06-24 04:01:13 UTC3.5Mnew
Next year, Celebration Key is expected to welcome three and a half million visitors while still providing ample capacity for future landside expansion.
CCL · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
2 metrics1 raised1 loweredearnings release · 2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC3.5%raised +169.2%3.5% vs FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 1.9% | Approx. 1.7% | Approx. 3.5% | Approx. 2.2% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-06-24 04:01:13 UTC1.3%lowered -64.9%1.3% vs FY2025
Cruise costs without fuel per ALBD are now expected to be up approximately 1.3% on a normalized basis, which includes the $0.06 per share cost savings I previously mentioned.
CCL · transcript · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-24 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-06-23 13:18:00 UTC3.7%raised +19.4%3.7% vs FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 2.8% | Approx. 2.8% | Approx. 3.7% | Approx. 2.4% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-23 13:16:37 UTCOpen source
2026-03-28 04:01:34 UTC3.1%lowered -4.6%3.1% vs FY2025
Cruise costs without fuel per ALBD are now expected to be up approximately 3.1%, which is 15 basis points better than our December guidance and reflects the first quarter improvement.
CCL · transcript · Q1 FY2026
2026-03-28 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-12-20 05:01:03 UTC3.3%lowered -29.3%3.3% vs FY2025
Turning to costs, cruise costs without fuel per ALBD are expected to be up approximately 3.25%, costing $0.27 per share for 2026 versus 2025.
CCL · transcript · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-20 05:00:00 UTCOpen source
2025-12-19 14:18:55 UTC4.6%new4.6% vs FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 9.6% | Approx. 5.9% | Approx. 4.6% | Approx. 3.25% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-19 14:17:01 UTCOpen source
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC2.2%lowered -8.3%2.2% vs FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 1.9% | Approx. 1.7% | Approx. 3.5% | Approx. 2.2% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-06-23 13:18:00 UTC2.4%lowered -26.2%2.4% vs FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 2.8% | Approx. 2.8% | Approx. 3.7% | Approx. 2.4% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-23 13:16:37 UTCOpen source
2025-12-19 14:18:55 UTC3.3%new3.3% vs FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 9.6% | Approx. 5.9% | Approx. 4.6% | Approx. 3.25% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q4 FY2025
2025-12-19 14:17:01 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
1 metric1 newearnings release · 2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC1.7%new1.7% vs Q4 FY2025
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD | Approx. 1.9% | Approx. 1.7% | Approx. 3.5% | Approx. 2.2% |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
1 metric1 maintainedearnings release · 2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC97.4Mmaintained
| ALBDs (in millions) (a) | 24.1 | | | 97.4 | | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source
2026-06-23 13:18:00 UTC97.4Mnew
| ALBDs (in millions) (a) | 24.9 | | | 97.4 | | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q2 FY2026
2026-06-23 13:16:37 UTCOpen source
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.Q4 FY2026 · ends 2026-11-30
1 metric1 newearnings release · 2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC
2026-09-29 13:18:39 UTC24.1Mnew
| ALBDs (in millions) (a) | 24.1 | | | 97.4 | | |
CCL · EX-99.1 · Q3 FY2026
2026-09-29 13:16:12 UTCOpen source