Automatic Data Processing (ADP) official guidance

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) official earnings guidance and management outlook. Each figure management stated is shown with its revisions and the source quote.

See the full Filings Intelligence suite
ADPAUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INCFY2027 · ends 2027-06-30
20 metrics1 raised3 new16 maintained
earnings call · 1d
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC2%maintained2% vs FY2026
We continue to expect total PEO revenues to grow by 5% to 7%, PEO revenue excluding zero margin pass throughs to grow by 3% to 5% and average worksite employee growth of about 2% in fiscal 27.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC2%maintained2% vs FY2026
•PEO Services average worksite employee count growth of about 2%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC2%maintained2% vs FY2026
Our outlook assumes average worksite employee growth of around 2%.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC2%new2% vs FY2026
•PEO Services average worksite employee count growth of about 2%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC4% – 5%maintained4% – 5% vs FY2026
We have now lifted our average client funds balances growth outlook to a range of 4% to 5% in fiscal 27.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC4% – 5%raised +28.6%4% – 5% vs FY2026
•Interest on funds held for clients of $1.59 to $1.61 billion; this is based on anticipated growth in client funds balances of 4% to 5% and an average yield that is anticipated to increase to approximately 3.8%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC3% – 4%maintained3% – 4% vs FY2026
We also expect that our average client funds balances will grow 3%-4% in fiscal 2027, compared to the 7% growth experienced in fiscal 2026, driven by some moderation in wages growth.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC3% – 4%new3% – 4% vs FY2026
•Interest on funds held for clients of $1.540 to $1.560 billion; this is based on anticipated growth in client funds balances of 3% to 4% and an average yield that is anticipated to increase to approximately 3.7%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC$1.6B – $1.6Bmaintained
We are also raising our outlook for the net impact from our extended investment strategy by $45 million to the same range of $1.59 billion to $1.61 billion.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC$1.6B – $1.6Braised +2.9%
•Total contribution from the client funds extended investment strategy of $1.59 to $1.61 billion
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC$1.5B – $1.6Bmaintained
Meanwhile, we expect that the net impact from our client funds strategy will increase from $1.31 billion in fiscal 2026 to a range of $1.545-1.565 billion in fiscal 2027.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC$1.5B – $1.6Bnew
•Total contribution from the client funds extended investment strategy of $1.545 to $1.565 billion
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC$1.6B – $1.6Bmaintained
As a result of our raised average client funds balances growth and raised yield expectations, we have increased our full year client funds interest revenue forecast by $50 million to a range of $1.59 billion to $1.61 billion.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC$1.6B – $1.6Braised +3.2%
•Interest on funds held for clients of $1.59 to $1.61 billion; this is based on anticipated growth in client funds balances of 4% to 5% and an average yield that is anticipated to increase to approximately 3.8%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC$1.5B – $1.6Bmaintained
Putting this all together, we expect that our client funds interest revenue will increase from $1.35 billion in fiscal 2026 to a range of $1.54-1.56 billion in fiscal 2027.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC$1.5B – $1.6Bnew
•Interest on funds held for clients of $1.540 to $1.560 billion; this is based on anticipated growth in client funds balances of 3% to 4% and an average yield that is anticipated to increase to approximately 3.7%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC3.8%maintained
Jared on this dynamic, we now forecast a fiscal 27 average yield on our client funds portfolio of about 3.8%.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC3.8%raised +2.7%
•Interest on funds held for clients of $1.59 to $1.61 billion; this is based on anticipated growth in client funds balances of 4% to 5% and an average yield that is anticipated to increase to approximately 3.8%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC3.7%maintained
We expect that our average yield will increase from 3.4% in fiscal 2026 to 3.7% in fiscal 2027, which contemplates the market's current expectations for between 25 and 50 basis points of Fed funds rate hikes over the course of fiscal 2027.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC3.7%
•Interest on funds held for clients of $1.540 to $1.560 billion; this is based on anticipated growth in client funds balances of 3% to 4% and an average yield that is anticipated to increase to approximately 3.7%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-04-30 04:01:33 UTCabove fiscal 2026 levelsnew
Second, as a result of our laddering strategy, we remain positioned for continued tailwinds from our client funds portfolio as anticipated reinvestment rates remain above the average yield of our maturing securities, driving overall yields expected on the portfolio above fiscal 2026 levels.
ADP · transcript · Q3 FY2026
2026-04-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC-30 bps – -10 bpsmaintained-30 bps – -10 bps vs FY2026
As it is early in the fiscal year, we are maintaining our forecast for a 10 to 30 basis point decline in full year retention.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC-30 bps – -10 bpsmaintained-30 bps – -10 bps vs FY2026
•Employer Services client revenue retention decrease of 10 to 30 basis points
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC-30 bps – -10 bpsmaintained-30 bps – -10 bps vs FY2026
For ES retention, we forecast a 10-30 basis point decline from our unchanged 92.1% fiscal 2026 result.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC-30 bps – -10 bpsnew-30 bps – -10 bps vs FY2026
•Employer Services client revenue retention decrease of 10 to 30 basis points
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC23%maintained2 bps vs FY2026
We continue to expect our effective tax rate to be around 23% for the year, We also now forecast fiscal 27 adjusted EPS growth of 10% to 12%, supported by share repurchases.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC23%new
We expect our effective tax rate to be around 23% in fiscal 2027, Adjusted EPS growth of 9%-11%, supported by continued healthy share repurchase activity.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC10% – 12%maintained10% – 12% vs FY2026
We continue to expect our effective tax rate to be around 23% for the year, We also now forecast fiscal 27 adjusted EPS growth of 10% to 12%, supported by share repurchases.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC10% – 12%raised +10.0%10% – 12% vs FY2026
•Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 10% to 12%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC9% – 11%maintained9% – 11% vs FY2026
We expect our effective tax rate to be around 23% in fiscal 2027, Adjusted EPS growth of 9%-11%, supported by continued healthy share repurchase activity.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC9% – 11%new9% – 11% vs FY2026
•Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 9% to 11%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC4% – 7%maintained4% – 7% vs FY2026
Overall, our pipelines are in good shape. The demand environment continues to remain healthy, and we are maintaining our 4% to 7% full year growth guidance.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC4% – 7%maintained4% – 7% vs FY2026
•Employer Services new business bookings growth of 4% to 7%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC4% – 7%maintained4% – 7% vs FY2026
We expect ES new business bookings to grow by 4%-7%, reinforced by our investments in Salesforce headcount growth as well as AI-enabled productivity tools like The Zone.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC4% – 7%new4% – 7% vs FY2026
•Employer Services new business bookings growth of 4% to 7%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC70 bps – 90 bpsmaintained70 bps – 90 bps vs FY2026
It all together, we are pleased to increase our fiscal 27 consolidated revenue outlook to about 6% growth while maintaining our forecast for adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 70 to 90 basis points.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC70 bps – 90 bpsmaintained70 bps – 90 bps vs FY2026
•Adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 70 to 90 basis points
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC70 bps – 90 bpsmaintained70 bps – 90 bps vs FY2026
We expect Adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 70 to 90 basis points.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC70 bps – 90 bpsnew70 bps – 90 bps vs FY2026
•Adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 70 to 90 basis points
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC1%maintained1% vs FY2026
As a result, we now forecast pays per control growth of around 1% for fiscal 27, which is an improvement on our prior outlook of 0% to 1% growth.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC1%raised +100.0%1% vs FY2026
•Increase in U.S. pays per control of about 1%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC0% – 1%maintained0% – 1% vs FY2026
With U.S. pays per control growth remaining at 1% in the fourth quarter and for fiscal 2026, our outlook assumes a flat to 1% growth for fiscal 2027.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC0% – 1%new0% – 1% vs FY2026
•Increase in U.S. pays per control of 0% to 1%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC6%maintained6% vs FY2026
As a result of these changes, we now expect fiscal 27 employer services revenue growth of about 6%.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC6%raised +9.1%6% vs FY2026
•Employer Services revenue growth of about 6%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC5% – 6%maintained5% – 6% vs FY2026
Beginning with Employer Services, we expect revenue growth of 5%-6%, driven by the following key assumptions.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC5% – 6%new5% – 6% vs FY2026
•Employer Services revenue growth of 5% to 6%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2026
We continue to expect total PEO revenues to grow by 5% to 7%, PEO revenue excluding zero margin pass throughs to grow by 3% to 5% and average worksite employee growth of about 2% in fiscal 27.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2026
•PEO Services revenue growth of 5% to 7%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC5% – 7%maintained5% – 7% vs FY2026
We expect PEO revenues to grow 5%-7% and PEO revenues excluding zero-margin pass-throughs to grow 3%-5% in fiscal 2027.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC5% – 7%new5% – 7% vs FY2026
•PEO Services revenue growth of 5% to 7%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC6%maintained6% vs FY2026
It all together, we are pleased to increase our fiscal 27 consolidated revenue outlook to about 6% growth while maintaining our forecast for adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 70 to 90 basis points.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC6%raised +9.1%6% vs FY2026
•Revenue growth of about 6%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC5% – 6%maintained5% – 6% vs FY2026
Adding it all up, our consolidated revenue outlook calls for 5%-6% growth in fiscal 2027.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC5% – 6%new5% – 6% vs FY2026
•Revenue growth of 5% to 6%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 16:06:55 UTC3% – 5%maintained3% – 5% vs FY2026
We continue to expect total PEO revenues to grow by 5% to 7%, PEO revenue excluding zero margin pass throughs to grow by 3% to 5% and average worksite employee growth of about 2% in fiscal 27.
ADP · transcript · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 16:06:00 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC3% – 5%maintained3% – 5% vs FY2026
•PEO Services revenue, excluding zero-margin benefits pass-throughs, growth of 3% to 5%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTC3% – 5%maintained3% – 5% vs FY2026
We expect PEO revenues to grow 5%-7% and PEO revenues excluding zero-margin pass-throughs to grow 3%-5% in fiscal 2027.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC3% – 5%new3% – 5% vs FY2026
•PEO Services revenue, excluding zero-margin benefits pass-throughs, growth of 3% to 5%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC23%maintained
•Adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 23%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC23%new
•Adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 23%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-10-28 10:56:26 UTC12% – 14%raised +8.3%11.9% – 13.9% vs FY2026
•Diluted EPS growth of 12% to 14%
ADP · EX-99 · Q1 FY2027
2026-10-28 10:55:11 UTCOpen source
2026-07-29 10:58:41 UTC11% – 13%new11% – 13% vs FY2026
•Diluted EPS growth of 11% to 13%
ADP · EX-99 · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-29 10:57:30 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTCrelatively stable with FY 2026 levelsnew
We anticipate continued healthy PEO new business bookings growth, while PEO retention and pays per control growth to be relatively stable with FY 2026 levels.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTCprobably relatively flat overallnew
My general expectation, if you're looking for some sort of perspective, is we'd be probably relatively flat overall, but with additions in targeted areas and efficiencies being realized through headcount in other areas.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source
2026-07-30 04:01:20 UTCcontinued healthy PEO new business bookings growthnew
We anticipate continued healthy PEO new business bookings growth, while PEO retention and pays per control growth to be relatively stable with FY 2026 levels.
ADP · transcript · Q4 FY2026
2026-07-30 04:00:00 UTCOpen source